Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
24%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction0.971.682.65safe0.00–1.940.83–2.540.83–4.47safer0.00–2.190.60–2.760.35–4.95
Shots on target
26%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction3.564.898.45safe1.70–5.433.14–6.634.84–12.05safer1.21–5.922.68–7.093.89–13.01
Total shots
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5413.7725.32safe7.62–15.4710.21–17.3417.83–32.80safer6.53–16.569.25–18.2915.78–34.85
Shots in box
23%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction6.759.1515.91safe3.81–9.706.47–11.8310.28–21.53safer2.98–10.535.74–12.578.72–23.10
Blocked shots
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.193.476.66safe1.31–5.071.82–5.133.13–10.20safer0.76–5.611.33–5.622.09–11.23
Corners
35%
13%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.244.869.10safe2.02–6.452.86–6.864.89–13.31safer1.45–7.022.33–7.403.78–14.42
Possession %
41%
55%
homeawayprediction48.9351.88safe42.14–55.7245.09–58.66safer40.47–57.3943.42–60.33
Passes
38%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction444479923safe377–512412–545790–1057safer359–530395–563754–1093
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction81.8479.91safe77.81–85.8775.59–84.23safer76.51–87.1674.28–85.54
Fouls
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8214.3225.14safe7.98–13.6611.38–17.2719.36–30.92safer7.23–14.4110.63–18.0217.85–32.43
Offsides
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.773.15safe0.21–2.530.68–2.870.89–5.40safer0.00–2.830.39–3.150.30–5.99
Yellow cards
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.254.00safe0.70–2.801.12–3.381.82–6.17safer0.43–3.060.83–3.671.26–6.73
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.512.666.17safe2.08–4.951.10–4.223.18–9.17safer1.69–5.340.68–4.642.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.97 0.00–1.94 0.00–2.19 | 1.68 0.83–2.54 0.60–2.76 | 2.65 0.83–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 22% 24% 54% |
| Shots on target | 3.56 1.70–5.43 1.21–5.92 | 4.89 3.14–6.63 2.68–7.09 | 8.45 4.84–12.05 3.89–13.01 | 26% 61% |
| Total shots | 11.54 7.62–15.47 6.53–16.56 | 13.77 10.21–17.34 9.25–18.29 | 25.32 17.83–32.80 15.78–34.85 | 29% 63% |
| Shots in box | 6.75 3.81–9.70 2.98–10.53 | 9.15 6.47–11.83 5.74–12.57 | 15.91 10.28–21.53 8.72–23.10 | 23% 68% |
| Blocked shots | 3.19 1.31–5.07 0.76–5.61 | 3.47 1.82–5.13 1.33–5.62 | 6.66 3.13–10.20 2.09–11.23 | 38% 16% 46% |
| Corners | 4.24 2.02–6.45 1.45–7.02 | 4.86 2.86–6.86 2.33–7.40 | 9.10 4.89–13.31 3.78–14.42 | 35% 13% 52% |
| Possession % | 48.93 42.14–55.72 40.47–57.39 | 51.88 45.09–58.66 43.42–60.33 | — | 41% 55% |
| Passes | 444 377–512 359–530 | 479 412–545 395–563 | 923 790–1057 754–1093 | 38% 61% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.84 77.81–85.87 76.51–87.16 | 79.91 75.59–84.23 74.28–85.54 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 10.82 7.98–13.66 7.23–14.41 | 14.32 11.38–17.27 10.63–18.02 | 25.14 19.36–30.92 17.85–32.43 | 21% 73% |
| Offsides | 1.37 0.21–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 1.77 0.68–2.87 0.39–3.15 | 3.15 0.89–5.40 0.30–5.99 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.43–3.06 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 4.00 1.82–6.17 1.26–6.73 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.51 2.08–4.95 1.69–5.34 | 2.66 1.10–4.22 0.68–4.64 | 6.17 3.18–9.17 2.37–9.98 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+