Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
27%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.052.47safe0.45–2.390.19–1.900.64–4.29safer0.20–2.640.00–2.130.16–4.77
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.123.588.70safe3.25–6.981.84–5.335.09–12.30safer2.76–7.471.38–5.794.14–13.26
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5411.0927.63safe12.62–20.477.52–14.6520.14–35.12safer11.53–21.566.56–15.6118.09–37.17
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.296.7517.04safe7.35–13.234.07–9.4311.42–22.67safer6.52–14.063.33–10.179.85–24.23
Blocked shots
57%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.113.097.19safe2.22–5.991.43–4.743.66–10.73safer1.68–6.530.94–5.232.62–11.76
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.664.079.72safe3.44–7.872.07–6.075.51–13.94safer2.87–8.441.53–6.604.40–15.04
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction49.7250.41safe42.93–56.5143.63–57.20safer41.26–58.1841.96–58.87
Passes
43%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction436456892safe369–504389–522758–1026safer351–522372–540723–1061
Pass accuracy %
47%
47%
homeawayprediction82.2982.29safe78.26–86.3277.96–86.61safer76.97–87.6176.66–87.92
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4112.9425.36safe9.58–15.2510.00–15.8919.57–31.14safer8.82–16.019.25–16.6418.07–32.64
Offsides
41%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.412.99safe0.41–2.740.32–2.500.73–5.24safer0.11–3.040.03–2.790.14–5.83
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.963.40safe0.39–2.490.83–3.091.22–5.58safer0.13–2.760.54–3.380.67–6.14
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.393.605.99safe0.95–3.822.04–5.152.99–8.98safer0.56–4.211.62–5.582.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.05 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.47 0.64–4.29 0.16–4.77 | 46% 27% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.12 3.25–6.98 2.76–7.47 | 3.58 1.84–5.33 1.38–5.79 | 8.70 5.09–12.30 4.14–13.26 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.54 12.62–20.47 11.53–21.56 | 11.09 7.52–14.65 6.56–15.61 | 27.63 20.14–35.12 18.09–37.17 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 10.29 7.35–13.23 6.52–14.06 | 6.75 4.07–9.43 3.33–10.17 | 17.04 11.42–22.67 9.85–24.23 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.22–5.99 1.68–6.53 | 3.09 1.43–4.74 0.94–5.23 | 7.19 3.66–10.73 2.62–11.76 | 57% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.66 3.44–7.87 2.87–8.44 | 4.07 2.07–6.07 1.53–6.60 | 9.72 5.51–13.94 4.40–15.04 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 49.72 42.93–56.51 41.26–58.18 | 50.41 43.63–57.20 41.96–58.87 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 436 369–504 351–522 | 456 389–522 372–540 | 892 758–1026 723–1061 | 43% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.29 78.26–86.32 76.97–87.61 | 82.29 77.96–86.61 76.66–87.92 | — | 47% 47% |
| Fouls | 12.41 9.58–15.25 8.82–16.01 | 12.94 10.00–15.89 9.25–16.64 | 25.36 19.57–31.14 18.07–32.64 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.41–2.74 0.11–3.04 | 1.41 0.32–2.50 0.03–2.79 | 2.99 0.73–5.24 0.14–5.83 | 41% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.40 1.22–5.58 0.67–6.14 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.95–3.82 0.56–4.21 | 3.60 2.04–5.15 1.62–5.58 | 5.99 2.99–8.98 2.18–9.79 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.