Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
26%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.262.63safe0.41–2.350.40–2.110.81–4.46safer0.16–2.600.17–2.340.33–4.94
Shots on target
41%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.274.398.66safe2.41–6.132.65–6.145.06–12.27safer1.92–6.622.19–6.604.10–13.22
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7713.5127.28safe9.85–17.709.95–17.0719.79–34.77safer8.76–18.798.99–18.0317.74–36.82
Shots in box
40%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction7.938.4016.34safe4.99–10.885.72–11.0810.71–21.96safer4.16–11.714.98–11.829.15–23.53
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.583.306.88safe1.70–5.471.64–4.953.35–10.42safer1.16–6.011.15–5.442.31–11.45
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.954.999.93safe2.74–7.162.99–6.995.72–14.15safer2.16–7.742.45–7.524.61–15.26
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction53.0746.95safe46.27–59.8640.16–53.73safer44.61–61.5338.49–55.40
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction489409898safe422–557342–475764–1032safer404–575325–493729–1067
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction84.6682.21safe80.63–88.6977.89–86.54safer79.34–89.9876.58–87.85
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2512.0524.30safe9.41–15.099.10–14.9918.51–30.08safer8.66–15.848.35–15.7417.01–31.58
Offsides
38%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.372.79safe0.25–2.570.28–2.470.53–5.04safer0.00–2.870.00–2.760.00–5.63
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.723.26safe0.49–2.590.59–2.851.08–5.44safer0.22–2.850.30–3.140.52–5.99
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
47%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.232.886.11safe1.79–4.661.33–4.443.12–9.10safer1.40–5.050.90–4.862.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.26 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 2.63 0.81–4.46 0.33–4.94 | 40% 26% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.27 2.41–6.13 1.92–6.62 | 4.39 2.65–6.14 2.19–6.60 | 8.66 5.06–12.27 4.10–13.22 | 41% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 13.77 9.85–17.70 8.76–18.79 | 13.51 9.95–17.07 8.99–18.03 | 27.28 19.79–34.77 17.74–36.82 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 7.93 4.99–10.88 4.16–11.71 | 8.40 5.72–11.08 4.98–11.82 | 16.34 10.71–21.96 9.15–23.53 | 40% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.58 1.70–5.47 1.16–6.01 | 3.30 1.64–4.95 1.15–5.44 | 6.88 3.35–10.42 2.31–11.45 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 4.95 2.74–7.16 2.16–7.74 | 4.99 2.99–6.99 2.45–7.52 | 9.93 5.72–14.15 4.61–15.26 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 53.07 46.27–59.86 44.61–61.53 | 46.95 40.16–53.73 38.49–55.40 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 489 422–557 404–575 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 898 764–1032 729–1067 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.66 80.63–88.69 79.34–89.98 | 82.21 77.89–86.54 76.58–87.85 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 12.25 9.41–15.09 8.66–15.84 | 12.05 9.10–14.99 8.35–15.74 | 24.30 18.51–30.08 17.01–31.58 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 1.37 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 2.79 0.53–5.04 0.00–5.63 | 38% 25% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.22–2.85 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.26 1.08–5.44 0.52–5.99 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.79–4.66 1.40–5.05 | 2.88 1.33–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 6.11 3.12–9.10 2.30–9.91 | 47% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+