Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
24%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.680.892.57safe0.72–2.650.03–1.740.75–4.39safer0.46–2.900.00–1.970.27–4.87
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.893.378.27safe3.03–6.751.63–5.124.66–11.87safer2.54–7.241.17–5.583.70–12.83
Total shots
77%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7210.5625.28safe10.79–18.647.00–14.1317.79–32.77safer9.70–19.736.04–15.0815.74–34.82
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.025.7815.80safe7.07–12.963.10–8.4610.17–21.42safer6.25–13.792.36–9.208.61–22.99
Blocked shots
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.592.776.36safe1.70–5.471.12–4.422.82–9.89safer1.16–6.010.63–4.921.79–10.93
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.644.4310.08safe3.43–7.862.43–6.435.86–14.29safer2.86–8.431.90–6.974.76–15.40
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.3045.40safe47.51–61.0938.61–52.18safer45.84–62.7636.94–53.85
Passes
76%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction468382850safe401–535315–448716–983safer383–553298–466680–1019
Pass accuracy %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction82.3078.97safe78.27–86.3274.64–83.29safer76.97–87.6273.33–84.60
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4612.1923.65safe8.62–14.309.24–15.1317.87–29.43safer7.87–15.058.49–15.8816.36–30.93
Offsides
65%
16%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.871.544.42safe1.71–4.030.45–2.642.16–6.67safer1.41–4.330.16–2.921.57–7.26
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.903.53safe0.58–2.680.77–3.031.35–5.71safer0.31–2.940.48–3.320.79–6.27
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.295.66safe0.93–3.801.74–4.852.66–8.65safer0.54–4.191.31–5.271.85–9.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 0.72–2.65 0.46–2.90 | 0.89 0.03–1.74 0.00–1.97 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 56% 24% 20% |
| Shots on target | 4.89 3.03–6.75 2.54–7.24 | 3.37 1.63–5.12 1.17–5.58 | 8.27 4.66–11.87 3.70–12.83 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 14.72 10.79–18.64 9.70–19.73 | 10.56 7.00–14.13 6.04–15.08 | 25.28 17.79–32.77 15.74–34.82 | 77% 18% |
| Shots in box | 10.02 7.07–12.96 6.25–13.79 | 5.78 3.10–8.46 2.36–9.20 | 15.80 10.17–21.42 8.61–22.99 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 3.59 1.70–5.47 1.16–6.01 | 2.77 1.12–4.42 0.63–4.92 | 6.36 2.82–9.89 1.79–10.93 | 55% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 5.64 3.43–7.86 2.86–8.43 | 4.43 2.43–6.43 1.90–6.97 | 10.08 5.86–14.29 4.76–15.40 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 54.30 47.51–61.09 45.84–62.76 | 45.40 38.61–52.18 36.94–53.85 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 468 401–535 383–553 | 382 315–448 298–466 | 850 716–983 680–1019 | 76% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.30 78.27–86.32 76.97–87.62 | 78.97 74.64–83.29 73.33–84.60 | — | 64% 31% |
| Fouls | 11.46 8.62–14.30 7.87–15.05 | 12.19 9.24–15.13 8.49–15.88 | 23.65 17.87–29.43 16.36–30.93 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.87 1.71–4.03 1.41–4.33 | 1.54 0.45–2.64 0.16–2.92 | 4.42 2.16–6.67 1.57–7.26 | 65% 16% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.31–2.94 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.53 1.35–5.71 0.79–6.27 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 3.29 1.74–4.85 1.31–5.27 | 5.66 2.66–8.65 1.85–9.46 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+