Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
25%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.592.68safe0.12–2.060.73–2.440.86–4.50safer0.00–2.310.51–2.670.38–4.98
Shots on target
32%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.754.568.31safe1.89–5.612.82–6.314.71–11.92safer1.40–6.102.35–6.773.75–12.87
Total shots
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7412.0123.75safe7.81–15.668.44–15.5716.26–31.23safer6.72–16.757.49–16.5314.21–33.28
Shots in box
34%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction7.588.7016.28safe4.64–10.526.02–11.3810.65–21.90safer3.81–11.355.28–12.129.09–23.47
Blocked shots
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.512.866.37safe1.63–5.391.21–4.512.84–9.91safer1.09–5.940.71–5.001.80–10.94
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.104.9310.03safe2.88–7.312.93–6.935.81–14.24safer2.31–7.892.40–7.464.71–15.35
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction50.1250.35safe43.33–56.9143.57–57.14safer41.66–58.5841.90–58.81
Passes
45%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction417431848safe350–484364–497714–982safer332–502347–515679–1017
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction79.8179.96safe75.78–83.8475.63–84.28safer74.49–85.1374.32–85.59
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3212.7924.11safe8.48–14.169.85–15.7418.33–29.90safer7.73–14.929.10–16.4916.83–31.40
Offsides
26%
18%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.704.53safe0.67–3.001.60–3.792.28–6.78safer0.37–3.301.31–4.081.69–7.37
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.923.55safe0.58–2.680.79–3.051.37–5.73safer0.32–2.950.50–3.340.81–6.29
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.752.725.47safe1.32–4.191.16–4.272.48–8.46safer0.93–4.580.74–4.701.66–9.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 1.59 0.73–2.44 0.51–2.67 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 26% 25% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.75 1.89–5.61 1.40–6.10 | 4.56 2.82–6.31 2.35–6.77 | 8.31 4.71–11.92 3.75–12.87 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Total shots | 11.74 7.81–15.66 6.72–16.75 | 12.01 8.44–15.57 7.49–16.53 | 23.75 16.26–31.23 14.21–33.28 | 44% 48% |
| Shots in box | 7.58 4.64–10.52 3.81–11.35 | 8.70 6.02–11.38 5.28–12.12 | 16.28 10.65–21.90 9.09–23.47 | 34% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.51 1.63–5.39 1.09–5.94 | 2.86 1.21–4.51 0.71–5.00 | 6.37 2.84–9.91 1.80–10.94 | 52% 16% 32% |
| Corners | 5.10 2.88–7.31 2.31–7.89 | 4.93 2.93–6.93 2.40–7.46 | 10.03 5.81–14.24 4.71–15.35 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 50.12 43.33–56.91 41.66–58.58 | 50.35 43.57–57.14 41.90–58.81 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 417 350–484 332–502 | 431 364–497 347–515 | 848 714–982 679–1017 | 45% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.81 75.78–83.84 74.49–85.13 | 79.96 75.63–84.28 74.32–85.59 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 11.32 8.48–14.16 7.73–14.92 | 12.79 9.85–15.74 9.10–16.49 | 24.11 18.33–29.90 16.83–31.40 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.67–3.00 0.37–3.30 | 2.70 1.60–3.79 1.31–4.08 | 4.53 2.28–6.78 1.69–7.37 | 26% 18% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.55 1.37–5.73 0.81–6.29 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 2.72 1.16–4.27 0.74–4.70 | 5.47 2.48–8.46 1.66–9.27 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.