Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
22%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.051.922.98safe0.09–2.021.07–2.781.16–4.80safer0.00–2.270.84–3.010.68–5.28
Shots on target
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.045.429.45safe2.18–5.903.67–7.165.85–13.06safer1.69–6.393.21–7.624.89–14.01
Total shots
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5314.3226.85safe8.60–16.4510.76–17.8919.36–34.34safer7.51–17.549.80–18.8517.31–36.39
Shots in box
22%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction7.3510.0617.41safe4.41–10.307.38–12.7411.79–23.04safer3.58–11.136.64–13.4810.22–24.60
Blocked shots
41%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.693.807.49safe1.81–5.572.15–5.463.96–11.03safer1.26–6.121.66–5.952.92–12.07
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.335.199.53safe2.12–6.553.19–7.195.32–13.74safer1.55–7.122.66–7.734.21–14.85
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction45.8954.18safe39.10–52.6847.39–60.96safer37.43–54.3545.72–62.63
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction416511927safe348–483445–577793–1060safer330–501427–595757–1096
Pass accuracy %
44%
50%
homeawayprediction80.1080.68safe76.07–84.1376.35–85.00safer74.78–85.4275.04–86.31
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5311.7622.29safe7.69–13.368.82–14.7116.51–28.07safer6.93–14.128.07–15.4615.00–29.58
Offsides
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.333.78safe0.30–2.621.23–3.421.53–6.04safer0.00–2.920.94–3.710.94–6.63
Yellow cards
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.893.90safe0.96–3.060.76–3.021.72–6.08safer0.69–3.320.47–3.311.17–6.64
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
53%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.552.826.36safe2.11–4.981.26–4.373.37–9.36safer1.72–5.370.83–4.802.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.09–2.02 0.00–2.27 | 1.92 1.07–2.78 0.84–3.01 | 2.98 1.16–4.80 0.68–5.28 | 20% 22% 58% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.18–5.90 1.69–6.39 | 5.42 3.67–7.16 3.21–7.62 | 9.45 5.85–13.06 4.89–14.01 | 27% 61% |
| Total shots | 12.53 8.60–16.45 7.51–17.54 | 14.32 10.76–17.89 9.80–18.85 | 26.85 19.36–34.34 17.31–36.39 | 33% 60% |
| Shots in box | 7.35 4.41–10.30 3.58–11.13 | 10.06 7.38–12.74 6.64–13.48 | 17.41 11.79–23.04 10.22–24.60 | 22% 70% |
| Blocked shots | 3.69 1.81–5.57 1.26–6.12 | 3.80 2.15–5.46 1.66–5.95 | 7.49 3.96–11.03 2.92–12.07 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 4.33 2.12–6.55 1.55–7.12 | 5.19 3.19–7.19 2.66–7.73 | 9.53 5.32–13.74 4.21–14.85 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 45.89 39.10–52.68 37.43–54.35 | 54.18 47.39–60.96 45.72–62.63 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 416 348–483 330–501 | 511 445–577 427–595 | 927 793–1060 757–1096 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.10 76.07–84.13 74.78–85.42 | 80.68 76.35–85.00 75.04–86.31 | — | 44% 50% |
| Fouls | 10.53 7.69–13.36 6.93–14.12 | 11.76 8.82–14.71 8.07–15.46 | 22.29 16.51–28.07 15.00–29.58 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 2.33 1.23–3.42 0.94–3.71 | 3.78 1.53–6.04 0.94–6.63 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.69–3.32 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.90 1.72–6.08 1.17–6.64 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.55 2.11–4.98 1.72–5.37 | 2.82 1.26–4.37 0.83–4.80 | 6.36 3.37–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 53% 16% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.