Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
19%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.331.133.46safe1.36–3.300.27–1.981.63–5.28safer1.11–3.550.05–2.211.15–5.76
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.163.729.88safe4.30–8.021.98–5.466.27–13.48safer3.81–8.511.51–5.935.32–14.44
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.129.9526.08safe12.20–20.056.39–13.5218.59–33.56safer11.11–21.145.43–14.4816.54–35.61
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction11.946.7918.73safe8.99–14.884.11–9.4813.11–24.35safer8.17–15.713.38–10.2111.54–25.92
Blocked shots
65%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.162.656.81safe2.28–6.041.00–4.303.28–10.35safer1.74–6.590.50–4.792.24–11.38
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.433.199.62safe4.22–8.641.19–5.195.41–13.84safer3.64–9.220.66–5.734.30–14.94
Possession %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction56.6643.06safe49.87–63.4536.27–49.84safer48.20–65.1234.60–51.51
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction545416961safe478–613349–482828–1095safer460–631332–500792–1131
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction82.2880.10safe78.25–86.3175.78–84.43safer76.96–87.6174.47–85.74
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8310.9121.74safe7.99–13.667.97–13.8615.96–27.52safer7.23–14.427.22–14.6114.46–29.03
Offsides
57%
20%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.291.433.72safe1.13–3.450.33–2.521.47–5.98safer0.83–3.760.05–2.810.88–6.57
Yellow cards
25%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.943.19safe0.20–2.300.81–3.071.01–5.37safer0.00–2.570.52–3.360.45–5.92
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.513.756.26safe1.07–3.952.19–5.313.27–9.25safer0.69–4.331.77–5.732.46–10.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.33 1.36–3.30 1.11–3.55 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 3.46 1.63–5.28 1.15–5.76 | 64% 19% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.16 4.30–8.02 3.81–8.51 | 3.72 1.98–5.46 1.51–5.93 | 9.88 6.27–13.48 5.32–14.44 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 16.12 12.20–20.05 11.11–21.14 | 9.95 6.39–13.52 5.43–14.48 | 26.08 18.59–33.56 16.54–35.61 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.94 8.99–14.88 8.17–15.71 | 6.79 4.11–9.48 3.38–10.21 | 18.73 13.11–24.35 11.54–25.92 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.16 2.28–6.04 1.74–6.59 | 2.65 1.00–4.30 0.50–4.79 | 6.81 3.28–10.35 2.24–11.38 | 65% 13% 22% |
| Corners | 6.43 4.22–8.64 3.64–9.22 | 3.19 1.19–5.19 0.66–5.73 | 9.62 5.41–13.84 4.30–14.94 | 81% |
| Possession % | 56.66 49.87–63.45 48.20–65.12 | 43.06 36.27–49.84 34.60–51.51 | — | 77% 19% |
| Passes | 545 478–613 460–631 | 416 349–482 332–500 | 961 828–1095 792–1131 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.28 78.25–86.31 76.96–87.61 | 80.10 75.78–84.43 74.47–85.74 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 10.83 7.99–13.66 7.23–14.42 | 10.91 7.97–13.86 7.22–14.61 | 21.74 15.96–27.52 14.46–29.03 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.29 1.13–3.45 0.83–3.76 | 1.43 0.33–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 3.72 1.47–5.98 0.88–6.57 | 57% 20% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.25 0.20–2.30 0.00–2.57 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.19 1.01–5.37 0.45–5.92 | 25% 22% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.07–3.95 0.69–4.33 | 3.75 2.19–5.31 1.77–5.73 | 6.26 3.27–9.25 2.46–10.07 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+