Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
18%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.421.093.51safe1.45–3.390.23–1.941.69–5.33safer1.20–3.640.01–2.171.21–5.81
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.973.5610.53safe5.11–8.831.82–5.306.93–14.14safer4.62–9.321.35–5.775.97–15.09
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction19.9610.4930.45safe16.03–23.886.93–14.0622.96–37.94safer14.94–24.975.97–15.0120.91–39.99
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction12.987.2620.24safe10.03–15.924.58–9.9414.62–25.86safer9.20–16.753.84–10.6813.05–27.43
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.272.467.73safe3.39–7.150.81–4.114.20–11.27safer2.85–7.700.31–4.603.16–12.30
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.373.5610.93safe5.15–9.581.56–5.566.71–15.14safer4.58–10.151.03–6.095.61–16.25
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.2535.44safe57.46–71.0428.65–42.22safer55.79–72.7126.98–43.89
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction586312898safe519–653246–379764–1032safer500–671228–396729–1067
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction88.0976.37safe84.06–92.1272.04–80.69safer82.77–93.4170.74–82.00
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0212.3922.42safe7.19–12.869.45–15.3416.64–28.20safer6.43–13.628.70–16.0915.13–29.70
Offsides
28%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.843.20safe0.20–2.520.75–2.940.95–5.45safer0.00–2.820.46–3.220.36–6.04
Yellow cards
24%
21%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.153.51safe0.31–2.411.02–3.281.33–5.69safer0.04–2.670.73–3.570.78–6.25
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.495.047.53safe1.05–3.923.48–6.604.54–10.52safer0.67–4.313.06–7.023.72–11.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.42 1.45–3.39 1.20–3.64 | 1.09 0.23–1.94 0.01–2.17 | 3.51 1.69–5.33 1.21–5.81 | 67% 18% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.97 5.11–8.83 4.62–9.32 | 3.56 1.82–5.30 1.35–5.77 | 10.53 6.93–14.14 5.97–15.09 | 82% |
| Total shots | 19.96 16.03–23.88 14.94–24.97 | 10.49 6.93–14.06 5.97–15.01 | 30.45 22.96–37.94 20.91–39.99 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.98 10.03–15.92 9.20–16.75 | 7.26 4.58–9.94 3.84–10.68 | 20.24 14.62–25.86 13.05–27.43 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 5.27 3.39–7.15 2.85–7.70 | 2.46 0.81–4.11 0.31–4.60 | 7.73 4.20–11.27 3.16–12.30 | 80% |
| Corners | 7.37 5.15–9.58 4.58–10.15 | 3.56 1.56–5.56 1.03–6.09 | 10.93 6.71–15.14 5.61–16.25 | 84% |
| Possession % | 64.25 57.46–71.04 55.79–72.71 | 35.44 28.65–42.22 26.98–43.89 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 586 519–653 500–671 | 312 246–379 228–396 | 898 764–1032 729–1067 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.09 84.06–92.12 82.77–93.41 | 76.37 72.04–80.69 70.74–82.00 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 10.02 7.19–12.86 6.43–13.62 | 12.39 9.45–15.34 8.70–16.09 | 22.42 16.64–28.20 15.13–29.70 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.36 0.20–2.52 0.00–2.82 | 1.84 0.75–2.94 0.46–3.22 | 3.20 0.95–5.45 0.36–6.04 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.04–2.67 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.51 1.33–5.69 0.78–6.25 | 24% 21% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.05–3.92 0.67–4.31 | 5.04 3.48–6.60 3.06–7.02 | 7.53 4.54–10.52 3.72–11.33 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+