Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
26%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction0.891.532.42safe0.00–1.860.67–2.380.59–4.24safer0.00–2.110.44–2.610.11–4.72
Shots on target
22%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.284.998.27safe1.42–5.143.25–6.734.67–11.88safer0.93–5.632.78–7.203.71–12.83
Total shots
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8214.4225.24safe6.89–14.7410.86–17.9817.75–32.73safer5.80–15.839.90–18.9415.70–34.78
Shots in box
22%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction6.318.8015.11safe3.37–9.266.11–11.489.49–20.73safer2.54–10.095.38–12.217.92–22.30
Blocked shots
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.003.336.33safe1.11–4.881.68–4.992.79–9.87safer0.57–5.421.19–5.481.76–10.90
Corners
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.295.339.61safe2.07–6.503.33–7.335.40–13.83safer1.50–7.072.79–7.864.29–14.93
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction44.7755.00safe37.98–51.5648.21–61.78safer36.31–53.2346.54–63.46
Passes
20%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction419519938safe352–487452–585804–1072safer334–505435–603769–1107
Pass accuracy %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction83.3786.85safe79.34–87.4082.52–91.17safer78.05–88.7081.21–92.48
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8512.4625.31safe10.01–15.689.52–15.4119.53–31.09safer9.25–16.448.77–16.1618.02–32.60
Offsides
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.423.01safe0.44–2.760.32–2.510.76–5.27safer0.14–3.060.04–2.800.17–5.86
Yellow cards
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.934.12safe1.13–3.230.80–3.061.94–6.29safer0.87–3.500.51–3.351.38–6.85
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.080.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.83
GK saves
53%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.322.595.90safe1.88–4.751.03–4.142.91–8.90safer1.49–5.140.61–4.572.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.89 0.00–1.86 0.00–2.11 | 1.53 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.61 | 2.42 0.59–4.24 0.11–4.72 | 22% 26% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.28 1.42–5.14 0.93–5.63 | 4.99 3.25–6.73 2.78–7.20 | 8.27 4.67–11.88 3.71–12.83 | 22% 66% |
| Total shots | 10.82 6.89–14.74 5.80–15.83 | 14.42 10.86–17.98 9.90–18.94 | 25.24 17.75–32.73 15.70–34.78 | 21% 73% |
| Shots in box | 6.31 3.37–9.26 2.54–10.09 | 8.80 6.11–11.48 5.38–12.21 | 15.11 9.49–20.73 7.92–22.30 | 22% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 3.00 1.11–4.88 0.57–5.42 | 3.33 1.68–4.99 1.19–5.48 | 6.33 2.79–9.87 1.76–10.90 | 37% 16% 47% |
| Corners | 4.29 2.07–6.50 1.50–7.07 | 5.33 3.33–7.33 2.79–7.86 | 9.61 5.40–13.83 4.29–14.93 | 31% 57% |
| Possession % | 44.77 37.98–51.56 36.31–53.23 | 55.00 48.21–61.78 46.54–63.46 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 419 352–487 334–505 | 519 452–585 435–603 | 938 804–1072 769–1107 | 20% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.37 79.34–87.40 78.05–88.70 | 86.85 82.52–91.17 81.21–92.48 | — | 30% 65% |
| Fouls | 12.85 10.01–15.68 9.25–16.44 | 12.46 9.52–15.41 8.77–16.16 | 25.31 19.53–31.09 18.02–32.60 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 1.42 0.32–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 3.01 0.76–5.27 0.17–5.86 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.23 0.87–3.50 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 4.12 1.94–6.29 1.38–6.85 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.88–4.75 1.49–5.14 | 2.59 1.03–4.14 0.61–4.57 | 5.90 2.91–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 53% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.