Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
24%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.670.842.51safe0.70–2.640.00–1.700.69–4.33safer0.45–2.890.00–1.920.21–4.81
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.523.028.54safe3.66–7.381.28–4.764.94–12.15safer3.17–7.870.81–5.233.98–13.10
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.439.0626.49safe13.51–21.365.49–12.6219.00–33.97safer12.42–22.454.53–13.5816.95–36.03
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.635.6117.24safe8.69–14.572.93–8.3011.62–22.87safer7.86–15.402.20–9.0310.05–24.43
Blocked shots
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.412.727.13safe2.53–6.301.07–4.373.60–10.67safer1.99–6.840.57–4.862.56–11.70
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.103.139.24safe3.89–8.321.13–5.135.02–13.45safer3.32–8.890.60–5.663.92–14.56
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction55.8343.32safe49.04–62.6236.54–50.11safer47.37–64.2934.87–51.78
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction553429982safe486–620363–496848–1116safer468–638345–513813–1151
Pass accuracy %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction86.9783.00safe82.94–91.0078.68–87.33safer81.65–92.2977.37–88.64
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7812.2925.06safe9.94–15.619.34–15.2319.28–30.84safer9.18–16.378.59–15.9817.77–32.35
Offsides
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.563.06safe0.35–2.670.46–2.650.81–5.32safer0.04–2.970.18–2.940.22–5.91
Yellow cards
30%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.013.59safe0.52–2.620.89–3.141.41–5.76safer0.26–2.890.59–3.430.85–6.32
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
17%
13%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction1.963.695.65safe0.53–3.402.13–5.242.66–8.64safer0.14–3.791.70–5.671.84–9.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 0.84 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.92 | 2.51 0.69–4.33 0.21–4.81 | 57% 24% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.52 3.66–7.38 3.17–7.87 | 3.02 1.28–4.76 0.81–5.23 | 8.54 4.94–12.15 3.98–13.10 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.43 13.51–21.36 12.42–22.45 | 9.06 5.49–12.62 4.53–13.58 | 26.49 19.00–33.97 16.95–36.03 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.63 8.69–14.57 7.86–15.40 | 5.61 2.93–8.30 2.20–9.03 | 17.24 11.62–22.87 10.05–24.43 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.41 2.53–6.30 1.99–6.84 | 2.72 1.07–4.37 0.57–4.86 | 7.13 3.60–10.67 2.56–11.70 | 67% 20% |
| Corners | 6.10 3.89–8.32 3.32–8.89 | 3.13 1.13–5.13 0.60–5.66 | 9.24 5.02–13.45 3.92–14.56 | 79% |
| Possession % | 55.83 49.04–62.62 47.37–64.29 | 43.32 36.54–50.11 34.87–51.78 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 553 486–620 468–638 | 429 363–496 345–513 | 982 848–1116 813–1151 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.97 82.94–91.00 81.65–92.29 | 83.00 78.68–87.33 77.37–88.64 | — | 67% 28% |
| Fouls | 12.78 9.94–15.61 9.18–16.37 | 12.29 9.34–15.23 8.59–15.98 | 25.06 19.28–30.84 17.77–32.35 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.04–2.97 | 1.56 0.46–2.65 0.18–2.94 | 3.06 0.81–5.32 0.22–5.91 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 2.01 0.89–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.59 1.41–5.76 0.85–6.32 | 30% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 1.96 0.53–3.40 0.14–3.79 | 3.69 2.13–5.24 1.70–5.67 | 5.65 2.66–8.64 1.84–9.45 | 17% 13% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.