Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
17%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.430.973.40safe1.46–3.390.11–1.821.57–5.22safer1.21–3.650.00–2.051.09–5.70
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.493.5111.01safe5.63–9.361.77–5.267.40–14.61safer5.14–9.851.31–5.726.45–15.57
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.359.0430.39safe17.42–25.275.47–12.6022.90–37.87safer16.33–26.374.52–13.5620.85–39.92
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.915.9418.85safe9.97–15.853.26–8.6213.23–24.47safer9.14–16.682.52–9.3611.66–26.04
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.932.388.31safe4.05–7.820.72–4.034.77–11.84safer3.51–8.360.23–4.523.74–12.88
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.523.1610.67safe5.30–9.731.16–5.166.46–14.89safer4.73–10.300.63–5.695.35–16.00
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.6238.21safe54.83–68.4131.42–44.99safer53.16–70.0829.75–46.66
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction586367952safe518–653300–433818–1086safer500–671283–450783–1121
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction87.1579.28safe83.12–91.1774.96–83.60safer81.82–92.4773.65–84.91
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9610.2222.18safe9.12–14.807.28–13.1716.40–27.96safer8.36–15.556.53–13.9114.89–29.47
Offsides
20%
17%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.552.754.31safe0.39–2.721.66–3.842.05–6.56safer0.09–3.021.37–4.131.46–7.15
Yellow cards
25%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.504.16safe0.62–2.711.37–3.621.98–6.34safer0.35–2.981.08–3.921.43–6.90
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
83%
homeawaytotalprediction2.245.287.52safe0.81–3.683.72–6.844.53–10.52safer0.42–4.073.30–7.263.72–11.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.43 1.46–3.39 1.21–3.65 | 0.97 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 3.40 1.57–5.22 1.09–5.70 | 69% 17% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.49 5.63–9.36 5.14–9.85 | 3.51 1.77–5.26 1.31–5.72 | 11.01 7.40–14.61 6.45–15.57 | 86% |
| Total shots | 21.35 17.42–25.27 16.33–26.37 | 9.04 5.47–12.60 4.52–13.56 | 30.39 22.90–37.87 20.85–39.92 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 12.91 9.97–15.85 9.14–16.68 | 5.94 3.26–8.62 2.52–9.36 | 18.85 13.23–24.47 11.66–26.04 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.93 4.05–7.82 3.51–8.36 | 2.38 0.72–4.03 0.23–4.52 | 8.31 4.77–11.84 3.74–12.88 | 86% |
| Corners | 7.52 5.30–9.73 4.73–10.30 | 3.16 1.16–5.16 0.63–5.69 | 10.67 6.46–14.89 5.35–16.00 | 89% |
| Possession % | 61.62 54.83–68.41 53.16–70.08 | 38.21 31.42–44.99 29.75–46.66 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 586 518–653 500–671 | 367 300–433 283–450 | 952 818–1086 783–1121 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.15 83.12–91.17 81.82–92.47 | 79.28 74.96–83.60 73.65–84.91 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 11.96 9.12–14.80 8.36–15.55 | 10.22 7.28–13.17 6.53–13.91 | 22.18 16.40–27.96 14.89–29.47 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.72 0.09–3.02 | 2.75 1.66–3.84 1.37–4.13 | 4.31 2.05–6.56 1.46–7.15 | 20% 17% 63% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 2.50 1.37–3.62 1.08–3.92 | 4.16 1.98–6.34 1.43–6.90 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.24 0.81–3.68 0.42–4.07 | 5.28 3.72–6.84 3.30–7.26 | 7.52 4.53–10.52 3.72–11.33 | 83% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+