Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
18%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.232.543.77safe0.26–2.201.68–3.391.94–5.59safer0.01–2.451.45–3.621.46–6.07
Shots on target
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.137.1911.32safe2.27–5.995.45–8.937.71–14.92safer1.78–6.484.98–9.406.76–15.88
Total shots
17%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3817.0929.48safe8.46–16.3113.53–20.6521.99–36.96safer7.37–17.4012.57–21.6119.94–39.01
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction7.9011.3819.28safe4.96–10.848.70–14.0613.66–24.90safer4.13–11.677.96–14.8012.09–26.47
Blocked shots
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.075.248.32safe1.19–4.963.59–6.904.78–11.85safer0.65–5.503.10–7.393.74–12.89
Corners
23%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction4.336.2310.56safe2.12–6.554.23–8.236.35–14.78safer1.55–7.123.70–8.765.24–15.88
Possession %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction41.6859.35safe34.89–48.4752.56–66.13safer33.22–50.1450.89–67.80
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction388546934safe321–455479–612800–1067safer303–473462–630764–1103
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction79.4785.23safe75.44–83.5080.91–89.56safer74.15–84.7979.60–90.87
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5812.7523.34safe7.75–13.429.81–15.7017.56–29.12safer6.99–14.189.06–16.4516.05–30.62
Offsides
72%
14%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction3.151.404.56safe1.99–4.310.31–2.502.30–6.81safer1.69–4.610.02–2.791.72–7.40
Yellow cards
42%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.763.63safe0.83–2.930.63–2.891.46–5.81safer0.56–3.190.34–3.180.90–6.37
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.090.23safe0.00–0.300.00–0.280.00–0.58safer0.00–0.450.00–0.410.00–0.86
GK saves
65%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.292.767.04safe2.85–5.721.20–4.314.05–10.03safer2.46–6.110.77–4.743.24–10.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 2.54 1.68–3.39 1.45–3.62 | 3.77 1.94–5.59 1.46–6.07 | 17% 18% 66% |
| Shots on target | 4.13 2.27–5.99 1.78–6.48 | 7.19 5.45–8.93 4.98–9.40 | 11.32 7.71–14.92 6.76–15.88 | 14% 78% |
| Total shots | 12.38 8.46–16.31 7.37–17.40 | 17.09 13.53–20.65 12.57–21.61 | 29.48 21.99–36.96 19.94–39.01 | 17% 78% |
| Shots in box | 7.90 4.96–10.84 4.13–11.67 | 11.38 8.70–14.06 7.96–14.80 | 19.28 13.66–24.90 12.09–26.47 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 3.07 1.19–4.96 0.65–5.50 | 5.24 3.59–6.90 3.10–7.39 | 8.32 4.78–11.85 3.74–12.89 | 17% 72% |
| Corners | 4.33 2.12–6.55 1.55–7.12 | 6.23 4.23–8.23 3.70–8.76 | 10.56 6.35–14.78 5.24–15.88 | 23% 67% |
| Possession % | 41.68 34.89–48.47 33.22–50.14 | 59.35 52.56–66.13 50.89–67.80 | — | 13% 84% |
| Passes | 388 321–455 303–473 | 546 479–612 462–630 | 934 800–1067 764–1103 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.47 75.44–83.50 74.15–84.79 | 85.23 80.91–89.56 79.60–90.87 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 10.58 7.75–13.42 6.99–14.18 | 12.75 9.81–15.70 9.06–16.45 | 23.34 17.56–29.12 16.05–30.62 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 3.15 1.99–4.31 1.69–4.61 | 1.40 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.79 | 4.56 2.30–6.81 1.72–7.40 | 72% 14% 14% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.56–3.19 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.63 1.46–5.81 0.90–6.37 | 42% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 4.29 2.85–5.72 2.46–6.11 | 2.76 1.20–4.31 0.77–4.74 | 7.04 4.05–10.03 3.24–10.85 | 65% 13% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.