Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.162.70safe0.58–2.510.31–2.020.88–4.53safer0.32–2.760.08–2.240.40–5.01
Shots on target
56%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.703.748.44safe2.84–6.562.00–5.484.84–12.05safer2.35–7.051.53–5.953.88–13.00
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7411.0024.74safe9.81–17.667.44–14.5617.25–32.22safer8.72–18.756.48–15.5215.20–34.27
Shots in box
67%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.136.8615.99safe6.19–12.074.18–9.5410.36–21.61safer5.36–12.903.44–10.278.80–23.18
Blocked shots
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.693.206.89safe1.81–5.581.54–4.853.35–10.42safer1.27–6.121.05–5.342.32–11.46
Corners
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.363.879.23safe3.14–7.571.87–5.875.01–13.44safer2.57–8.141.34–6.403.91–14.55
Possession %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction48.4151.70safe41.62–55.2044.92–58.49safer39.95–56.8743.25–60.16
Passes
37%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction399440840safe332–467374–507706–973safer314–485356–524670–1009
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction75.1480.68safe71.11–79.1776.35–85.00safer69.82–80.4675.04–86.31
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4713.1224.59safe8.63–14.3110.17–16.0618.81–30.37safer7.88–15.069.43–16.8117.30–31.88
Offsides
46%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.191.854.03safe1.03–3.350.75–2.941.78–6.28safer0.72–3.650.46–3.231.19–6.87
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.133.89safe0.71–2.811.00–3.261.71–6.07safer0.45–3.080.71–3.551.16–6.63
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.703.245.94safe1.26–4.131.69–4.802.94–8.93safer0.87–4.521.26–5.222.13–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.58–2.51 0.32–2.76 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.24 | 2.70 0.88–4.53 0.40–5.01 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.70 2.84–6.56 2.35–7.05 | 3.74 2.00–5.48 1.53–5.95 | 8.44 4.84–12.05 3.88–13.00 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Total shots | 13.74 9.81–17.66 8.72–18.75 | 11.00 7.44–14.56 6.48–15.52 | 24.74 17.25–32.22 15.20–34.27 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.13 6.19–12.07 5.36–12.90 | 6.86 4.18–9.54 3.44–10.27 | 15.99 10.36–21.61 8.80–23.18 | 67% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.69 1.81–5.58 1.27–6.12 | 3.20 1.54–4.85 1.05–5.34 | 6.89 3.35–10.42 2.32–11.46 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.36 3.14–7.57 2.57–8.14 | 3.87 1.87–5.87 1.34–6.40 | 9.23 5.01–13.44 3.91–14.55 | 63% 25% |
| Possession % | 48.41 41.62–55.20 39.95–56.87 | 51.70 44.92–58.49 43.25–60.16 | — | 40% 55% |
| Passes | 399 332–467 314–485 | 440 374–507 356–524 | 840 706–973 670–1009 | 37% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.14 71.11–79.17 69.82–80.46 | 80.68 76.35–85.00 75.04–86.31 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 11.47 8.63–14.31 7.88–15.06 | 13.12 10.17–16.06 9.43–16.81 | 24.59 18.81–30.37 17.30–31.88 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.19 1.03–3.35 0.72–3.65 | 1.85 0.75–2.94 0.46–3.23 | 4.03 1.78–6.28 1.19–6.87 | 46% 20% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.89 1.71–6.07 1.16–6.63 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 3.24 1.69–4.80 1.26–5.22 | 5.94 2.94–8.93 2.13–9.74 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+