Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.352.59safe0.28–2.210.49–2.200.77–4.41safer0.03–2.460.26–2.430.29–4.89
Shots on target
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.384.408.78safe2.52–6.242.66–6.155.18–12.39safer2.03–6.732.20–6.614.22–13.34
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0612.1825.24safe9.14–16.998.62–15.7417.75–32.73safer8.04–18.087.66–16.7015.70–34.78
Shots in box
38%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction7.608.3415.94safe4.65–10.545.66–11.0210.32–21.56safer3.83–11.374.93–11.768.75–23.13
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.763.327.09safe1.88–5.651.67–4.983.55–10.62safer1.34–6.191.18–5.472.52–11.66
Corners
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.639.44safe2.59–7.022.63–6.635.22–13.65safer2.02–7.592.10–7.164.12–14.76
Possession %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction54.4945.83safe47.70–61.2839.05–52.61safer46.03–62.9537.37–54.29
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction481400881safe414–548334–467748–1015safer396–566316–484712–1051
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction81.6775.71safe77.64–85.7071.38–80.03safer76.35–86.9970.07–81.34
Fouls
56%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7111.5224.23safe9.87–15.558.58–14.4718.45–30.02safer9.12–16.307.83–15.2216.95–31.52
Offsides
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.234.13safe0.73–3.061.14–3.321.87–6.38safer0.43–3.360.85–3.611.28–6.97
Yellow cards
42%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.152.024.16safe1.10–3.200.89–3.151.98–6.34safer0.83–3.460.60–3.441.43–6.90
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.963.156.11safe1.53–4.401.60–4.713.12–9.11safer1.14–4.791.17–5.132.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.28–2.21 0.03–2.46 | 1.35 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.43 | 2.59 0.77–4.41 0.29–4.89 | 34% 26% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.38 2.52–6.24 2.03–6.73 | 4.40 2.66–6.15 2.20–6.61 | 8.78 5.18–12.39 4.22–13.34 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 13.06 9.14–16.99 8.04–18.08 | 12.18 8.62–15.74 7.66–16.70 | 25.24 17.75–32.73 15.70–34.78 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 7.60 4.65–10.54 3.83–11.37 | 8.34 5.66–11.02 4.93–11.76 | 15.94 10.32–21.56 8.75–23.13 | 38% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.76 1.88–5.65 1.34–6.19 | 3.32 1.67–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 7.09 3.55–10.62 2.52–11.66 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 4.81 2.59–7.02 2.02–7.59 | 4.63 2.63–6.63 2.10–7.16 | 9.44 5.22–13.65 4.12–14.76 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Possession % | 54.49 47.70–61.28 46.03–62.95 | 45.83 39.05–52.61 37.37–54.29 | — | 67% 28% |
| Passes | 481 414–548 396–566 | 400 334–467 316–484 | 881 748–1015 712–1051 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.67 77.64–85.70 76.35–86.99 | 75.71 71.38–80.03 70.07–81.34 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 12.71 9.87–15.55 9.12–16.30 | 11.52 8.58–14.47 7.83–15.22 | 24.23 18.45–30.02 16.95–31.52 | 56% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.06 0.43–3.36 | 2.23 1.14–3.32 0.85–3.61 | 4.13 1.87–6.38 1.28–6.97 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 2.15 1.10–3.20 0.83–3.46 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 4.16 1.98–6.34 1.43–6.90 | 42% 20% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.53–4.40 1.14–4.79 | 3.15 1.60–4.71 1.17–5.13 | 6.11 3.12–9.11 2.31–9.92 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.