Serie A·Regular Season - 8·
Serie A·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
20%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.170.993.16safe1.20–3.140.13–1.841.34–4.98safer0.95–3.390.00–2.070.86–5.46
Shots on target
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.393.7810.17safe4.53–8.252.04–5.536.57–13.78safer4.04–8.741.58–5.995.61–14.73
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction17.7810.6128.39safe13.86–21.717.05–14.1720.90–35.88safer12.77–22.806.09–15.1318.85–37.93
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.627.0318.65safe8.68–14.564.35–9.7113.02–24.27safer7.85–15.393.61–10.4411.46–25.84
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.582.617.19safe2.70–6.460.96–4.263.66–10.73safer2.16–7.010.47–4.762.62–11.76
Corners
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.623.7610.38safe4.41–8.831.76–5.766.17–14.60safer3.83–9.411.23–6.305.06–15.70
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.6435.39safe58.85–72.4328.60–42.17safer57.18–74.1026.93–43.84
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction604335939safe536–671269–402805–1073safer518–689251–419769–1108
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction88.8176.07safe84.78–92.8471.75–80.40safer83.49–94.1370.44–81.70
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6211.5522.17safe7.78–13.468.60–14.4916.39–27.95safer7.03–14.217.85–15.2414.88–29.45
Offsides
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.753.34safe0.43–2.750.65–2.841.08–5.59safer0.13–3.050.37–3.130.50–6.18
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.442.103.53safe0.39–2.490.97–3.231.36–5.71safer0.12–2.750.68–3.520.80–6.27
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
21%
13%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.574.086.65safe1.13–4.002.52–5.643.65–9.64safer0.74–4.392.10–6.062.84–10.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.17 1.20–3.14 0.95–3.39 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 3.16 1.34–4.98 0.86–5.46 | 64% 20% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.39 4.53–8.25 4.04–8.74 | 3.78 2.04–5.53 1.58–5.99 | 10.17 6.57–13.78 5.61–14.73 | 75% 16% |
| Total shots | 17.78 13.86–21.71 12.77–22.80 | 10.61 7.05–14.17 6.09–15.13 | 28.39 20.90–35.88 18.85–37.93 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.62 8.68–14.56 7.85–15.39 | 7.03 4.35–9.71 3.61–10.44 | 18.65 13.02–24.27 11.46–25.84 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.58 2.70–6.46 2.16–7.01 | 2.61 0.96–4.26 0.47–4.76 | 7.19 3.66–10.73 2.62–11.76 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 6.62 4.41–8.83 3.83–9.41 | 3.76 1.76–5.76 1.23–6.30 | 10.38 6.17–14.60 5.06–15.70 | 77% 15% |
| Possession % | 65.64 58.85–72.43 57.18–74.10 | 35.39 28.60–42.17 26.93–43.84 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 604 536–671 518–689 | 335 269–402 251–419 | 939 805–1073 769–1108 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.81 84.78–92.84 83.49–94.13 | 76.07 71.75–80.40 70.44–81.70 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 10.62 7.78–13.46 7.03–14.21 | 11.55 8.60–14.49 7.85–15.24 | 22.17 16.39–27.95 14.88–29.45 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.75 0.65–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.34 1.08–5.59 0.50–6.18 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.12–2.75 | 2.10 0.97–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 3.53 1.36–5.71 0.80–6.27 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 4.08 2.52–5.64 2.10–6.06 | 6.65 3.65–9.64 2.84–10.45 | 21% 13% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.