Serie A·Regular Season - 25·
Serie A·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.923.05safe0.16–2.091.07–2.781.22–4.87safer0.00–2.340.84–3.010.74–5.35
Shots on target
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.035.499.52safe2.17–5.893.74–7.235.91–13.12safer1.68–6.383.28–7.694.96–14.08
Total shots
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7815.1327.91safe8.85–16.7011.57–18.7020.42–35.40safer7.76–17.7910.61–19.6518.37–37.45
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction8.359.6317.98safe5.40–11.296.95–12.3112.35–23.60safer4.57–12.126.21–13.0510.79–25.17
Blocked shots
32%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.564.397.96safe1.68–5.452.74–6.054.42–11.49safer1.14–5.992.25–6.543.39–12.53
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.625.129.74safe2.40–6.833.12–7.125.53–13.95safer1.83–7.402.59–7.664.42–15.06
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.6161.80safe31.82–45.4055.02–68.59safer30.15–47.0753.35–70.26
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction355577932safe287–422511–644798–1066safer269–440493–661763–1101
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction76.0587.47safe72.02–80.0883.14–91.79safer70.73–81.3781.83–93.10
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5810.8622.44safe8.74–14.427.91–13.8016.65–28.22safer7.98–15.177.17–14.5515.15–29.72
Offsides
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.593.57safe0.82–3.140.50–2.681.32–5.83safer0.52–3.450.21–2.970.73–6.41
Yellow cards
41%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.643.38safe0.69–2.780.51–2.771.20–5.56safer0.42–3.050.22–3.060.64–6.11
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.292.705.99safe1.85–4.721.14–4.252.99–8.98safer1.47–5.110.72–4.682.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.16–2.09 0.00–2.34 | 1.92 1.07–2.78 0.84–3.01 | 3.05 1.22–4.87 0.74–5.35 | 22% 22% 56% |
| Shots on target | 4.03 2.17–5.89 1.68–6.38 | 5.49 3.74–7.23 3.28–7.69 | 9.52 5.91–13.12 4.96–14.08 | 26% 62% |
| Total shots | 12.78 8.85–16.70 7.76–17.79 | 15.13 11.57–18.70 10.61–19.65 | 27.91 20.42–35.40 18.37–37.45 | 29% 64% |
| Shots in box | 8.35 5.40–11.29 4.57–12.12 | 9.63 6.95–12.31 6.21–13.05 | 17.98 12.35–23.60 10.79–25.17 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.56 1.68–5.45 1.14–5.99 | 4.39 2.74–6.05 2.25–6.54 | 7.96 4.42–11.49 3.39–12.53 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Corners | 4.62 2.40–6.83 1.83–7.40 | 5.12 3.12–7.12 2.59–7.66 | 9.74 5.53–13.95 4.42–15.06 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 38.61 31.82–45.40 30.15–47.07 | 61.80 55.02–68.59 53.35–70.26 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 355 287–422 269–440 | 577 511–644 493–661 | 932 798–1066 763–1101 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.05 72.02–80.08 70.73–81.37 | 87.47 83.14–91.79 81.83–93.10 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 11.58 8.74–14.42 7.98–15.17 | 10.86 7.91–13.80 7.17–14.55 | 22.44 16.65–28.22 15.15–29.72 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.45 | 1.59 0.50–2.68 0.21–2.97 | 3.57 1.32–5.83 0.73–6.41 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.69–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 1.64 0.51–2.77 0.22–3.06 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.64–6.11 | 41% 23% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.29 1.85–4.72 1.47–5.11 | 2.70 1.14–4.25 0.72–4.68 | 5.99 2.99–8.98 2.18–9.79 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.