Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
24%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.680.862.54safe0.71–2.650.00–1.710.72–4.36safer0.46–2.900.00–1.940.24–4.84
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.513.148.65safe3.65–7.381.40–4.885.05–12.26safer3.16–7.870.93–5.354.09–13.21
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction16.079.6725.74safe12.15–20.006.11–13.2318.25–33.23safer11.05–21.095.15–14.1916.20–35.28
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction10.226.1816.40safe7.28–13.163.50–8.8610.78–22.03safer6.45–13.992.76–9.609.21–23.59
Blocked shots
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.462.246.70safe2.58–6.350.59–3.893.17–10.24safer2.04–6.890.09–4.382.13–11.28
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.163.689.84safe3.95–8.371.68–5.685.63–14.06safer3.37–8.951.15–6.224.52–15.16
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction58.0442.77safe51.25–64.8335.99–49.56safer49.58–66.5034.32–51.23
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction515392908safe448–583326–459774–1041safer430–601308–476738–1077
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction87.5582.51safe83.52–91.5878.18–86.83safer82.23–92.8776.87–88.14
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2712.7425.01safe9.43–15.119.79–15.6819.22–30.79safer8.68–15.869.04–16.4317.72–32.29
Offsides
40%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.563.22safe0.50–2.820.47–2.660.96–5.47safer0.19–3.120.18–2.940.38–6.06
Yellow cards
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.303.82safe0.47–2.571.17–3.421.64–6.00safer0.21–2.840.88–3.721.08–6.55
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
18%
13%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.193.896.08safe0.75–3.632.34–5.453.09–9.07safer0.37–4.011.91–5.872.28–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 0.71–2.65 0.46–2.90 | 0.86 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.94 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 57% 24% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.51 3.65–7.38 3.16–7.87 | 3.14 1.40–4.88 0.93–5.35 | 8.65 5.05–12.26 4.09–13.21 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 16.07 12.15–20.00 11.05–21.09 | 9.67 6.11–13.23 5.15–14.19 | 25.74 18.25–33.23 16.20–35.28 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 10.22 7.28–13.16 6.45–13.99 | 6.18 3.50–8.86 2.76–9.60 | 16.40 10.78–22.03 9.21–23.59 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 4.46 2.58–6.35 2.04–6.89 | 2.24 0.59–3.89 0.09–4.38 | 6.70 3.17–10.24 2.13–11.28 | 75% 14% |
| Corners | 6.16 3.95–8.37 3.37–8.95 | 3.68 1.68–5.68 1.15–6.22 | 9.84 5.63–14.06 4.52–15.16 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 58.04 51.25–64.83 49.58–66.50 | 42.77 35.99–49.56 34.32–51.23 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 515 448–583 430–601 | 392 326–459 308–476 | 908 774–1041 738–1077 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.55 83.52–91.58 82.23–92.87 | 82.51 78.18–86.83 76.87–88.14 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 12.27 9.43–15.11 8.68–15.86 | 12.74 9.79–15.68 9.04–16.43 | 25.01 19.22–30.79 17.72–32.29 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.19–3.12 | 1.56 0.47–2.66 0.18–2.94 | 3.22 0.96–5.47 0.38–6.06 | 40% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.21–2.84 | 2.30 1.17–3.42 0.88–3.72 | 3.82 1.64–6.00 1.08–6.55 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.75–3.63 0.37–4.01 | 3.89 2.34–5.45 1.91–5.87 | 6.08 3.09–9.07 2.28–9.89 | 18% 13% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.