Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction0.802.213.01safe0.00–1.771.36–3.061.19–4.83safer0.00–2.021.13–3.290.71–5.31
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.986.049.02safe1.12–4.854.29–7.785.42–12.63safer0.63–5.343.83–8.254.46–13.58
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0815.6525.74safe6.16–14.0112.09–19.2218.25–33.22safer5.07–15.1011.13–20.1716.20–35.27
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.8410.8716.71safe2.90–8.798.19–13.5511.09–22.34safer2.07–9.627.45–14.299.52–23.90
Blocked shots
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.516.12safe0.73–4.491.86–5.162.59–9.66safer0.19–5.041.36–5.651.55–10.69
Corners
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.705.849.54safe1.49–5.923.84–7.845.33–13.75safer0.92–6.493.30–8.374.22–14.86
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction41.9758.64safe35.18–48.7651.86–65.43safer33.51–50.4350.19–67.10
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction375528903safe308–442462–595770–1037safer290–460444–612734–1073
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction73.5379.53safe69.50–77.5675.20–83.85safer68.21–78.8573.89–85.16
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1412.8824.02safe8.30–13.979.94–15.8218.23–29.80safer7.54–14.739.19–16.5716.73–31.30
Offsides
14%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction1.223.084.30safe0.06–2.381.98–4.172.04–6.55safer0.00–2.681.69–4.461.45–7.14
Yellow cards
46%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.683.71safe0.98–3.080.55–2.811.53–5.89safer0.71–3.350.26–3.100.98–6.45
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.070.19safe0.00–0.280.00–0.260.00–0.53safer0.00–0.430.00–0.390.00–0.82
GK saves
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction3.962.196.15safe2.52–5.390.63–3.753.15–9.14safer2.13–5.780.21–4.172.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.80 0.00–1.77 0.00–2.02 | 2.21 1.36–3.06 1.13–3.29 | 3.01 1.19–4.83 0.71–5.31 | 18% 70% |
| Shots on target | 2.98 1.12–4.85 0.63–5.34 | 6.04 4.29–7.78 3.83–8.25 | 9.02 5.42–12.63 4.46–13.58 | 80% |
| Total shots | 10.08 6.16–14.01 5.07–15.10 | 15.65 12.09–19.22 11.13–20.17 | 25.74 18.25–33.22 16.20–35.27 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 5.84 2.90–8.79 2.07–9.62 | 10.87 8.19–13.55 7.45–14.29 | 16.71 11.09–22.34 9.52–23.90 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 2.61 0.73–4.49 0.19–5.04 | 3.51 1.86–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 6.12 2.59–9.66 1.55–10.69 | 28% 16% 56% |
| Corners | 3.70 1.49–5.92 0.92–6.49 | 5.84 3.84–7.84 3.30–8.37 | 9.54 5.33–13.75 4.22–14.86 | 19% 70% |
| Possession % | 41.97 35.18–48.76 33.51–50.43 | 58.64 51.86–65.43 50.19–67.10 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 375 308–442 290–460 | 528 462–595 444–612 | 903 770–1037 734–1073 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.53 69.50–77.56 68.21–78.85 | 79.53 75.20–83.85 73.89–85.16 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 11.14 8.30–13.97 7.54–14.73 | 12.88 9.94–15.82 9.19–16.57 | 24.02 18.23–29.80 16.73–31.30 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.22 0.06–2.38 0.00–2.68 | 3.08 1.98–4.17 1.69–4.46 | 4.30 2.04–6.55 1.45–7.14 | 14% 74% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.08 0.71–3.35 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.71 1.53–5.89 0.98–6.45 | 46% 21% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.96 2.52–5.39 2.13–5.78 | 2.19 0.63–3.75 0.21–4.17 | 6.15 3.15–9.14 2.34–9.95 | 69% 18% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.