Predicted match statistics
Goals
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.430.653.08safe1.46–3.400.00–1.511.26–4.90safer1.21–3.650.00–1.740.78–5.38
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.002.509.50safe5.14–8.860.75–4.245.89–13.10safer4.65–9.350.29–4.714.94–14.06
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.207.9726.17safe14.27–22.124.40–11.5318.68–33.65safer13.18–23.223.44–12.4916.63–35.70
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction12.724.0816.81safe9.78–15.671.40–6.7611.18–22.43safer8.95–16.490.66–7.509.62–24.00
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction4.662.066.71safe2.78–6.540.40–3.713.18–10.25safer2.23–7.080.00–4.202.14–11.29
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.042.909.94safe4.82–9.250.90–4.905.72–14.15safer4.25–9.830.37–5.434.62–15.26
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.0937.49safe55.30–68.8830.71–44.28safer53.63–70.5529.04–45.95
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction569352922safe502–637286–419788–1055safer484–655268–436752–1091
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction81.5572.46safe77.52–85.5868.14–76.79safer76.23–86.8766.83–78.10
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1111.0922.21safe8.28–13.958.15–14.0416.42–27.99safer7.52–14.717.40–14.7914.92–29.49
Offsides
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.601.114.71safe2.44–4.760.01–2.202.46–6.96safer2.14–5.060.00–2.491.87–7.55
Yellow cards
22%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.902.99safe0.05–2.140.77–3.020.81–5.17safer0.00–2.410.47–3.320.25–5.72
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction1.754.165.91safe0.31–3.182.61–5.722.92–8.90safer0.00–3.572.18–6.142.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.43 1.46–3.40 1.21–3.65 | 0.65 0.00–1.51 0.00–1.74 | 3.08 1.26–4.90 0.78–5.38 | 77% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.00 5.14–8.86 4.65–9.35 | 2.50 0.75–4.24 0.29–4.71 | 9.50 5.89–13.10 4.94–14.06 | 91% |
| Total shots | 18.20 14.27–22.12 13.18–23.22 | 7.97 4.40–11.53 3.44–12.49 | 26.17 18.68–33.65 16.63–35.70 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.72 9.78–15.67 8.95–16.49 | 4.08 1.40–6.76 0.66–7.50 | 16.81 11.18–22.43 9.62–24.00 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 4.66 2.78–6.54 2.23–7.08 | 2.06 0.40–3.71 0.00–4.20 | 6.71 3.18–10.25 2.14–11.29 | 79% |
| Corners | 7.04 4.82–9.25 4.25–9.83 | 2.90 0.90–4.90 0.37–5.43 | 9.94 5.72–14.15 4.62–15.26 | 88% |
| Possession % | 62.09 55.30–68.88 53.63–70.55 | 37.49 30.71–44.28 29.04–45.95 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 569 502–637 484–655 | 352 286–419 268–436 | 922 788–1055 752–1091 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.55 77.52–85.58 76.23–86.87 | 72.46 68.14–76.79 66.83–78.10 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.11 8.28–13.95 7.52–14.71 | 11.09 8.15–14.04 7.40–14.79 | 22.21 16.42–27.99 14.92–29.49 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 3.60 2.44–4.76 2.14–5.06 | 1.11 0.01–2.20 0.00–2.49 | 4.71 2.46–6.96 1.87–7.55 | 83% |
| Yellow cards | 1.09 0.05–2.14 0.00–2.41 | 1.90 0.77–3.02 0.47–3.32 | 2.99 0.81–5.17 0.25–5.72 | 22% 22% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 1.75 0.31–3.18 0.00–3.57 | 4.16 2.61–5.72 2.18–6.14 | 5.91 2.92–8.90 2.11–9.72 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.