Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
24%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.682.89safe0.24–2.180.83–2.541.07–4.71safer0.00–2.430.60–2.770.59–5.19
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.045.249.28safe2.18–5.903.50–6.985.67–12.88safer1.69–6.393.03–7.454.72–13.84
Total shots
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2314.4725.71safe7.31–15.1610.91–18.0318.22–33.19safer6.22–16.259.95–18.9916.17–35.24
Shots in box
25%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction7.479.7217.20safe4.53–10.417.04–12.4011.57–22.82safer3.70–11.246.31–13.1410.01–24.39
Blocked shots
32%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.183.937.11safe1.29–5.062.28–5.583.57–10.64safer0.75–5.601.79–6.082.54–11.68
Corners
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.724.769.49safe2.51–6.942.76–6.765.27–13.70safer1.94–7.512.23–7.304.17–14.81
Possession %
43%
53%
homeawayprediction49.3251.44safe42.53–56.1144.66–58.23safer40.86–57.7842.99–59.90
Passes
36%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction461504965safe393–528438–570831–1098safer375–546420–588795–1134
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction74.4178.38safe70.38–78.4474.06–82.71safer69.09–79.7372.75–84.02
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7612.3123.07safe7.92–13.609.37–15.2617.29–28.85safer7.17–14.358.62–16.0115.79–30.36
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.703.61safe0.75–3.070.61–2.801.36–5.87safer0.45–3.370.32–3.090.77–6.46
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.113.95safe0.79–2.890.99–3.241.78–6.13safer0.52–3.160.69–3.531.22–6.69
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
53%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.372.676.04safe1.94–4.811.11–4.223.05–9.03safer1.55–5.200.69–4.652.24–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.68 0.83–2.54 0.60–2.77 | 2.89 1.07–4.71 0.59–5.19 | 27% 24% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.18–5.90 1.69–6.39 | 5.24 3.50–6.98 3.03–7.45 | 9.28 5.67–12.88 4.72–13.84 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 11.23 7.31–15.16 6.22–16.25 | 14.47 10.91–18.03 9.95–18.99 | 25.71 18.22–33.19 16.17–35.24 | 23% 71% |
| Shots in box | 7.47 4.53–10.41 3.70–11.24 | 9.72 7.04–12.40 6.31–13.14 | 17.20 11.57–22.82 10.01–24.39 | 25% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.18 1.29–5.06 0.75–5.60 | 3.93 2.28–5.58 1.79–6.08 | 7.11 3.57–10.64 2.54–11.68 | 32% 15% 54% |
| Corners | 4.72 2.51–6.94 1.94–7.51 | 4.76 2.76–6.76 2.23–7.30 | 9.49 5.27–13.70 4.17–14.81 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Possession % | 49.32 42.53–56.11 40.86–57.78 | 51.44 44.66–58.23 42.99–59.90 | — | 43% 53% |
| Passes | 461 393–528 375–546 | 504 438–570 420–588 | 965 831–1098 795–1134 | 36% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.41 70.38–78.44 69.09–79.73 | 78.38 74.06–82.71 72.75–84.02 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 10.76 7.92–13.60 7.17–14.35 | 12.31 9.37–15.26 8.62–16.01 | 23.07 17.29–28.85 15.79–30.36 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.45–3.37 | 1.70 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.09 | 3.61 1.36–5.87 0.77–6.46 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.52–3.16 | 2.11 0.99–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.95 1.78–6.13 1.22–6.69 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.37 1.94–4.81 1.55–5.20 | 2.67 1.11–4.22 0.69–4.65 | 6.04 3.05–9.03 2.24–9.84 | 53% 16% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.