Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.152.92safe0.81–2.740.29–2.001.10–4.74safer0.55–2.990.06–2.230.62–5.22
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.283.309.58safe4.41–8.141.56–5.045.97–13.18safer3.92–8.631.09–5.515.01–14.14
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.979.5128.48safe15.04–22.895.95–13.0720.99–35.97safer13.95–23.984.99–14.0318.94–38.02
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction12.746.3019.04safe9.80–15.683.62–8.9813.42–24.66safer8.97–16.512.88–9.7211.85–26.23
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.192.507.70safe3.31–7.070.85–4.164.16–11.23safer2.77–7.620.36–4.653.12–12.27
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.543.4610.00safe4.32–8.751.46–5.465.79–14.21safer3.75–9.330.93–6.004.68–15.32
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction54.7344.19safe47.94–61.5237.41–50.98safer46.27–63.1935.74–52.65
Passes
76%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction518432951safe451–586366–499817–1084safer433–604348–516781–1120
Pass accuracy %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction78.8472.11safe74.81–82.8767.79–76.44safer73.52–84.1666.48–77.75
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3210.9222.23safe8.48–14.157.97–13.8616.45–28.02safer7.72–14.917.22–14.6114.95–29.52
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.813.48safe0.51–2.830.72–2.901.23–5.73safer0.21–3.130.43–3.190.64–6.32
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.913.52safe0.56–2.660.78–3.041.35–5.70safer0.30–2.930.49–3.330.79–6.26
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.094.156.24safe0.65–3.522.59–5.713.24–9.23safer0.26–3.912.17–6.132.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.81–2.74 0.55–2.99 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.23 | 2.92 1.10–4.74 0.62–5.22 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 6.28 4.41–8.14 3.92–8.63 | 3.30 1.56–5.04 1.09–5.51 | 9.58 5.97–13.18 5.01–14.14 | 79% |
| Total shots | 18.97 15.04–22.89 13.95–23.98 | 9.51 5.95–13.07 4.99–14.03 | 28.48 20.99–35.97 18.94–38.02 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.74 9.80–15.68 8.97–16.51 | 6.30 3.62–8.98 2.88–9.72 | 19.04 13.42–24.66 11.85–26.23 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 5.19 3.31–7.07 2.77–7.62 | 2.50 0.85–4.16 0.36–4.65 | 7.70 4.16–11.23 3.12–12.27 | 79% |
| Corners | 6.54 4.32–8.75 3.75–9.33 | 3.46 1.46–5.46 0.93–6.00 | 10.00 5.79–14.21 4.68–15.32 | 79% |
| Possession % | 54.73 47.94–61.52 46.27–63.19 | 44.19 37.41–50.98 35.74–52.65 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 518 451–586 433–604 | 432 366–499 348–516 | 951 817–1084 781–1120 | 76% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.84 74.81–82.87 73.52–84.16 | 72.11 67.79–76.44 66.48–77.75 | — | 79% 18% |
| Fouls | 11.32 8.48–14.15 7.72–14.91 | 10.92 7.97–13.86 7.22–14.61 | 22.23 16.45–28.02 14.95–29.52 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.48 1.23–5.73 0.64–6.32 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.30–2.93 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.52 1.35–5.70 0.79–6.26 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.09 0.65–3.52 0.26–3.91 | 4.15 2.59–5.71 2.17–6.13 | 6.24 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+