Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.242.73safe0.52–2.460.39–2.090.91–4.55safer0.27–2.710.16–2.320.43–5.03
Shots on target
49%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.824.389.21safe2.96–6.692.64–6.125.60–12.81safer2.47–7.182.17–6.594.64–13.77
Total shots
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9712.5826.55safe10.05–17.909.01–16.1419.06–34.03safer8.96–18.998.05–17.1017.01–36.09
Shots in box
44%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction8.318.4016.71safe5.37–11.255.72–11.0811.08–22.33safer4.54–12.084.98–11.819.52–23.90
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.803.116.90safe1.92–5.681.45–4.763.37–10.44safer1.37–6.220.96–5.252.33–11.48
Corners
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.224.239.44safe3.00–7.432.23–6.235.23–13.66safer2.43–8.001.69–6.764.12–14.76
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction58.2442.31safe51.45–65.0335.53–49.10safer49.78–66.7033.86–50.77
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction500362862safe433–567295–428728–995safer415–585278–446692–1031
Pass accuracy %
68%
27%
homeawayprediction83.3879.24safe79.35–87.4174.92–83.57safer78.06–88.7173.61–84.88
Fouls
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3814.2126.59safe9.55–15.2211.26–17.1520.81–32.37safer8.79–15.9810.51–17.9019.30–33.88
Offsides
22%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.242.093.33safe0.08–2.400.99–3.181.08–5.58safer0.00–2.700.71–3.470.49–6.17
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.123.79safe0.62–2.720.99–3.251.61–5.97safer0.35–2.980.70–3.541.05–6.52
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.023.046.07safe1.59–4.461.49–4.603.08–9.06safer1.20–4.851.06–5.022.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.24 0.39–2.09 0.16–2.32 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 43% 25% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.82 2.96–6.69 2.47–7.18 | 4.38 2.64–6.12 2.17–6.59 | 9.21 5.60–12.81 4.64–13.77 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.97 10.05–17.90 8.96–18.99 | 12.58 9.01–16.14 8.05–17.10 | 26.55 19.06–34.03 17.01–36.09 | 57% 36% |
| Shots in box | 8.31 5.37–11.25 4.54–12.08 | 8.40 5.72–11.08 4.98–11.81 | 16.71 11.08–22.33 9.52–23.90 | 44% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.80 1.92–5.68 1.37–6.22 | 3.11 1.45–4.76 0.96–5.25 | 6.90 3.37–10.44 2.33–11.48 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.22 3.00–7.43 2.43–8.00 | 4.23 2.23–6.23 1.69–6.76 | 9.44 5.23–13.66 4.12–14.76 | 56% 31% |
| Possession % | 58.24 51.45–65.03 49.78–66.70 | 42.31 35.53–49.10 33.86–50.77 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 500 433–567 415–585 | 362 295–428 278–446 | 862 728–995 692–1031 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.38 79.35–87.41 78.06–88.71 | 79.24 74.92–83.57 73.61–84.88 | — | 68% 27% |
| Fouls | 12.38 9.55–15.22 8.79–15.98 | 14.21 11.26–17.15 10.51–17.90 | 26.59 20.81–32.37 19.30–33.88 | 33% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.24 0.08–2.40 0.00–2.70 | 2.09 0.99–3.18 0.71–3.47 | 3.33 1.08–5.58 0.49–6.17 | 22% 21% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.79 1.61–5.97 1.05–6.52 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.02 1.59–4.46 1.20–4.85 | 3.04 1.49–4.60 1.06–5.02 | 6.07 3.08–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.