Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
23%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.001.832.83safe0.03–1.960.98–2.691.01–4.65safer0.00–2.210.75–2.920.53–5.13
Shots on target
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.355.358.70safe1.49–5.213.61–7.095.09–12.31safer1.00–5.703.14–7.564.14–13.26
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1114.1323.24safe5.19–13.0410.56–17.6915.75–30.72safer4.09–14.139.60–18.6513.70–32.77
Shots in box
19%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction6.028.9214.94safe3.08–8.966.24–11.609.32–20.56safer2.25–9.795.50–12.347.75–22.13
Blocked shots
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.233.695.92safe0.35–4.112.03–5.342.38–9.45safer0.00–4.661.54–5.831.35–10.49
Corners
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.685.288.96safe1.47–5.893.28–7.284.74–13.17safer0.89–6.472.74–7.813.64–14.28
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction36.6363.13safe29.84–43.4256.34–69.91safer28.17–45.0954.67–71.58
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction343594937safe276–410527–660803–1070safer258–429510–678767–1106
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction79.8589.24safe75.82–83.8884.92–93.57safer74.53–85.1783.61–94.88
Fouls
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6410.2522.89safe9.81–15.487.31–13.2017.11–28.68safer9.05–16.246.56–13.9415.61–30.18
Offsides
50%
20%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.331.834.17safe1.17–3.490.74–2.921.91–6.42safer0.87–3.800.45–3.211.32–7.01
Yellow cards
50%
20%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.341.804.14safe1.29–3.390.67–2.931.96–6.31safer1.02–3.650.38–3.221.40–6.87
Red cards
14%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.090.26safe0.01–0.330.00–0.270.00–0.60safer0.00–0.480.00–0.410.00–0.89
GK saves
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.272.525.79safe1.84–4.710.96–4.082.80–8.79safer1.45–5.100.54–4.501.99–9.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.00 0.03–1.96 0.00–2.21 | 1.83 0.98–2.69 0.75–2.92 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 20% 23% 57% |
| Shots on target | 3.35 1.49–5.21 1.00–5.70 | 5.35 3.61–7.09 3.14–7.56 | 8.70 5.09–12.31 4.14–13.26 | 20% 69% |
| Total shots | 9.11 5.19–13.04 4.09–14.13 | 14.13 10.56–17.69 9.60–18.65 | 23.24 15.75–30.72 13.70–32.77 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 6.02 3.08–8.96 2.25–9.79 | 8.92 6.24–11.60 5.50–12.34 | 14.94 9.32–20.56 7.75–22.13 | 19% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 2.23 0.35–4.11 0.00–4.66 | 3.69 2.03–5.34 1.54–5.83 | 5.92 2.38–9.45 1.35–10.49 | 21% 14% 65% |
| Corners | 3.68 1.47–5.89 0.89–6.47 | 5.28 3.28–7.28 2.74–7.81 | 8.96 4.74–13.17 3.64–14.28 | 24% 64% |
| Possession % | 36.63 29.84–43.42 28.17–45.09 | 63.13 56.34–69.91 54.67–71.58 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 343 276–410 258–429 | 594 527–660 510–678 | 937 803–1070 767–1106 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.85 75.82–83.88 74.53–85.17 | 89.24 84.92–93.57 83.61–94.88 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.64 9.81–15.48 9.05–16.24 | 10.25 7.31–13.20 6.56–13.94 | 22.89 17.11–28.68 15.61–30.18 | 65% 27% |
| Offsides | 2.33 1.17–3.49 0.87–3.80 | 1.83 0.74–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 4.17 1.91–6.42 1.32–7.01 | 50% 20% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.34 1.29–3.39 1.02–3.65 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 4.14 1.96–6.31 1.40–6.87 | 50% 20% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.26 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.89 | 14% 79% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.84–4.71 1.45–5.10 | 2.52 0.96–4.08 0.54–4.50 | 5.79 2.80–8.79 1.99–9.60 | 54% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.