Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
20%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.100.842.94safe1.13–3.070.00–1.691.12–4.76safer0.88–3.320.00–1.920.64–5.24
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.072.918.97safe4.20–7.931.16–4.655.37–12.58safer3.72–8.420.70–5.114.41–13.53
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.128.9526.07safe13.20–21.055.38–12.5118.58–33.56safer12.11–22.144.42–13.4716.53–35.61
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction10.835.2316.06safe7.89–13.772.55–7.9110.43–21.68safer7.06–14.601.81–8.658.87–23.25
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.492.076.57safe2.61–6.380.42–3.733.03–10.10safer2.07–6.920.00–4.222.00–11.14
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.613.079.68safe4.39–8.821.07–5.075.47–13.89safer3.82–9.390.54–5.614.36–15.00
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.5434.83safe58.75–72.3328.04–41.61safer57.08–74.0026.37–43.28
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction630343973safe563–698276–409839–1107safer545–716259–427804–1143
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction90.0880.98safe86.05–94.1176.66–85.31safer84.76–95.4075.35–86.61
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0412.8022.83safe7.20–12.889.85–15.7417.05–28.62safer6.44–13.639.10–16.4915.55–30.12
Offsides
44%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.221.994.21safe1.06–3.380.90–3.081.96–6.46safer0.76–3.680.61–3.371.37–7.05
Yellow cards
24%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.312.093.40safe0.26–2.360.96–3.221.22–5.58safer0.00–2.630.67–3.510.67–6.14
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.310.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.80
GK saves
16%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.053.905.96safe0.62–3.492.35–5.462.96–8.95safer0.23–3.881.92–5.892.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.10 1.13–3.07 0.88–3.32 | 0.84 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.92 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 67% 20% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.07 4.20–7.93 3.72–8.42 | 2.91 1.16–4.65 0.70–5.11 | 8.97 5.37–12.58 4.41–13.53 | 82% |
| Total shots | 17.12 13.20–21.05 12.11–22.14 | 8.95 5.38–12.51 4.42–13.47 | 26.07 18.58–33.56 16.53–35.61 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 10.83 7.89–13.77 7.06–14.60 | 5.23 2.55–7.91 1.81–8.65 | 16.06 10.43–21.68 8.87–23.25 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.49 2.61–6.38 2.07–6.92 | 2.07 0.42–3.73 0.00–4.22 | 6.57 3.03–10.10 2.00–11.14 | 77% |
| Corners | 6.61 4.39–8.82 3.82–9.39 | 3.07 1.07–5.07 0.54–5.61 | 9.68 5.47–13.89 4.36–15.00 | 84% |
| Possession % | 65.54 58.75–72.33 57.08–74.00 | 34.83 28.04–41.61 26.37–43.28 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 630 563–698 545–716 | 343 276–409 259–427 | 973 839–1107 804–1143 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 90.08 86.05–94.11 84.76–95.40 | 80.98 76.66–85.31 75.35–86.61 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 10.04 7.20–12.88 6.44–13.63 | 12.80 9.85–15.74 9.10–16.49 | 22.83 17.05–28.62 15.55–30.12 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 2.22 1.06–3.38 0.76–3.68 | 1.99 0.90–3.08 0.61–3.37 | 4.21 1.96–6.46 1.37–7.05 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.63 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.40 1.22–5.58 0.67–6.14 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.05 0.62–3.49 0.23–3.88 | 3.90 2.35–5.46 1.92–5.89 | 5.96 2.96–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 16% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+