Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.032.65safe0.66–2.590.17–1.880.83–4.47safer0.40–2.840.00–2.110.35–4.95
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.903.298.19safe3.04–6.761.54–5.034.58–11.79safer2.55–7.251.08–5.503.63–12.75
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction14.759.5124.27safe10.83–18.685.95–13.0816.78–31.76safer9.74–19.774.99–14.0414.73–33.81
Shots in box
75%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction9.146.0215.16safe6.20–12.083.34–8.709.54–20.78safer5.37–12.912.60–9.447.97–22.35
Blocked shots
65%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.782.316.09safe1.90–5.660.66–3.962.56–9.63safer1.36–6.210.17–4.461.52–10.66
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.373.188.55safe3.15–7.581.18–5.184.33–12.76safer2.58–8.150.65–5.713.23–13.87
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.7642.35safe50.97–64.5535.57–49.14safer49.30–66.2233.90–50.81
Passes
87%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction540408948safe473–608341–474815–1082safer455–626324–492779–1118
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction88.4583.92safe84.42–92.4879.60–88.24safer83.13–93.7778.29–89.55
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1213.6525.77safe9.28–14.9510.71–16.6019.99–31.55safer8.52–15.719.96–17.3518.48–33.06
Offsides
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.243.72safe0.32–2.641.15–3.341.47–5.98safer0.02–2.940.86–3.630.88–6.57
Yellow cards
28%
18%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.932.684.61safe0.88–2.981.55–3.812.43–6.79safer0.61–3.241.26–4.101.88–7.35
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.223.145.36safe0.78–3.661.58–4.692.36–8.35safer0.40–4.041.16–5.121.55–9.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.66–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 1.03 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.65 0.83–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 51% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.90 3.04–6.76 2.55–7.25 | 3.29 1.54–5.03 1.08–5.50 | 8.19 4.58–11.79 3.63–12.75 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 14.75 10.83–18.68 9.74–19.77 | 9.51 5.95–13.08 4.99–14.04 | 24.27 16.78–31.76 14.73–33.81 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 9.14 6.20–12.08 5.37–12.91 | 6.02 3.34–8.70 2.60–9.44 | 15.16 9.54–20.78 7.97–22.35 | 75% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.90–5.66 1.36–6.21 | 2.31 0.66–3.96 0.17–4.46 | 6.09 2.56–9.63 1.52–10.66 | 65% 14% 21% |
| Corners | 5.37 3.15–7.58 2.58–8.15 | 3.18 1.18–5.18 0.65–5.71 | 8.55 4.33–12.76 3.23–13.87 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 57.76 50.97–64.55 49.30–66.22 | 42.35 35.57–49.14 33.90–50.81 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 540 473–608 455–626 | 408 341–474 324–492 | 948 815–1082 779–1118 | 87% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.45 84.42–92.48 83.13–93.77 | 83.92 79.60–88.24 78.29–89.55 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 12.12 9.28–14.95 8.52–15.71 | 13.65 10.71–16.60 9.96–17.35 | 25.77 19.99–31.55 18.48–33.06 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 2.24 1.15–3.34 0.86–3.63 | 3.72 1.47–5.98 0.88–6.57 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.61–3.24 | 2.68 1.55–3.81 1.26–4.10 | 4.61 2.43–6.79 1.88–7.35 | 28% 18% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.78–3.66 0.40–4.04 | 3.14 1.58–4.69 1.16–5.12 | 5.36 2.36–8.35 1.55–9.16 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.