Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
26%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.392.56safe0.20–2.140.54–2.250.74–4.39safer0.00–2.390.31–2.480.26–4.87
Shots on target
45%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.143.968.10safe2.27–6.002.22–5.714.50–11.71safer1.78–6.491.76–6.173.54–12.66
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8111.9723.78safe7.88–15.738.41–15.5316.29–31.27safer6.79–16.827.45–16.4914.24–33.32
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction7.967.2715.23safe5.02–10.904.59–9.959.61–20.85safer4.19–11.733.85–10.698.04–22.42
Blocked shots
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.753.165.91safe0.87–4.641.51–4.812.38–9.45safer0.33–5.181.01–5.301.34–10.48
Corners
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.084.468.55safe1.87–6.302.46–6.464.33–12.76safer1.30–6.871.93–6.993.23–13.87
Possession %
16%
80%
homeawayprediction41.9957.47safe35.20–48.7850.68–64.25safer33.53–50.4549.01–65.92
Passes
13%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction399531930safe332–466464–597796–1063safer314–484447–615760–1099
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction83.5288.44safe79.49–87.5584.11–92.76safer78.19–88.8482.80–94.07
Fouls
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6211.9925.61safe10.78–16.469.04–14.9319.83–31.39safer10.03–17.228.29–15.6818.32–32.90
Offsides
64%
17%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.671.414.08safe1.51–3.830.32–2.501.83–6.33safer1.21–4.130.03–2.791.24–6.92
Yellow cards
39%
19%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.292.394.68safe1.24–3.331.26–3.522.50–6.85safer0.97–3.600.97–3.811.94–7.41
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.110.26safe0.00–0.310.00–0.300.00–0.60safer0.00–0.460.00–0.430.00–0.89
GK saves
38%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.612.775.38safe1.17–4.051.22–4.332.39–8.37safer0.79–4.430.79–4.751.58–9.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.39 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.48 | 2.56 0.74–4.39 0.26–4.87 | 31% 26% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.27–6.00 1.78–6.49 | 3.96 2.22–5.71 1.76–6.17 | 8.10 4.50–11.71 3.54–12.66 | 45% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 11.81 7.88–15.73 6.79–16.82 | 11.97 8.41–15.53 7.45–16.49 | 23.78 16.29–31.27 14.24–33.32 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 7.96 5.02–10.90 4.19–11.73 | 7.27 4.59–9.95 3.85–10.69 | 15.23 9.61–20.85 8.04–22.42 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 2.75 0.87–4.64 0.33–5.18 | 3.16 1.51–4.81 1.01–5.30 | 5.91 2.38–9.45 1.34–10.48 | 35% 17% 48% |
| Corners | 4.08 1.87–6.30 1.30–6.87 | 4.46 2.46–6.46 1.93–6.99 | 8.55 4.33–12.76 3.23–13.87 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Possession % | 41.99 35.20–48.78 33.53–50.45 | 57.47 50.68–64.25 49.01–65.92 | — | 16% 80% |
| Passes | 399 332–466 314–484 | 531 464–597 447–615 | 930 796–1063 760–1099 | 13% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.52 79.49–87.55 78.19–88.84 | 88.44 84.11–92.76 82.80–94.07 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 13.62 10.78–16.46 10.03–17.22 | 11.99 9.04–14.93 8.29–15.68 | 25.61 19.83–31.39 18.32–32.90 | 59% 34% |
| Offsides | 2.67 1.51–3.83 1.21–4.13 | 1.41 0.32–2.50 0.03–2.79 | 4.08 1.83–6.33 1.24–6.92 | 64% 17% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 2.29 1.24–3.33 0.97–3.60 | 2.39 1.26–3.52 0.97–3.81 | 4.68 2.50–6.85 1.94–7.41 | 39% 19% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.26 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.89 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.05 0.79–4.43 | 2.77 1.22–4.33 0.79–4.75 | 5.38 2.39–8.37 1.58–9.19 | 38% 18% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.