Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.180.652.83safe1.21–3.150.00–1.511.01–4.65safer0.96–3.400.00–1.740.53–5.13
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.012.319.33safe5.15–8.880.57–4.065.72–12.93safer4.66–9.370.11–4.524.77–13.89
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.417.4928.90safe17.49–25.343.93–11.0521.41–36.39safer16.40–26.432.97–12.0119.36–38.44
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction13.984.2018.18safe11.04–16.921.52–6.8812.55–23.80safer10.21–17.750.78–7.6110.99–25.37
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.202.077.27safe3.32–7.080.42–3.723.74–10.81safer2.78–7.630.00–4.222.70–11.84
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction7.632.4310.07safe5.42–9.850.43–4.445.85–14.28safer4.85–10.420.00–4.974.75–15.39
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction59.5439.84safe52.75–66.3333.05–46.62safer51.08–68.0031.38–48.29
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction6024101013safe535–669344–477879–1146safer517–687326–494843–1182
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction83.9676.03safe79.93–87.9971.70–80.35safer78.64–89.2870.40–81.66
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1210.8923.01safe9.28–14.967.95–13.8417.23–28.80safer8.53–15.717.20–14.5915.73–30.30
Offsides
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.783.56safe0.61–2.940.69–2.881.30–5.81safer0.31–3.240.40–3.160.71–6.40
Yellow cards
23%
21%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.252.043.28safe0.20–2.300.91–3.171.11–5.46safer0.00–2.560.62–3.460.55–6.02
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
84%
homeawaytotalprediction1.704.696.38safe0.26–3.133.13–6.253.39–9.38safer0.00–3.522.71–6.672.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.18 1.21–3.15 0.96–3.40 | 0.65 0.00–1.51 0.00–1.74 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 72% 18% |
| Shots on target | 7.01 5.15–8.88 4.66–9.37 | 2.31 0.57–4.06 0.11–4.52 | 9.33 5.72–12.93 4.77–13.89 | 92% |
| Total shots | 21.41 17.49–25.34 16.40–26.43 | 7.49 3.93–11.05 2.97–12.01 | 28.90 21.41–36.39 19.36–38.44 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.98 11.04–16.92 10.21–17.75 | 4.20 1.52–6.88 0.78–7.61 | 18.18 12.55–23.80 10.99–25.37 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.20 3.32–7.08 2.78–7.63 | 2.07 0.42–3.72 0.00–4.22 | 7.27 3.74–10.81 2.70–11.84 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.63 5.42–9.85 4.85–10.42 | 2.43 0.43–4.44 0.00–4.97 | 10.07 5.85–14.28 4.75–15.39 | 94% |
| Possession % | 59.54 52.75–66.33 51.08–68.00 | 39.84 33.05–46.62 31.38–48.29 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 602 535–669 517–687 | 410 344–477 326–494 | 1013 879–1146 843–1182 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.96 79.93–87.99 78.64–89.28 | 76.03 71.70–80.35 70.40–81.66 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 12.12 9.28–14.96 8.53–15.71 | 10.89 7.95–13.84 7.20–14.59 | 23.01 17.23–28.80 15.73–30.30 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.94 0.31–3.24 | 1.78 0.69–2.88 0.40–3.16 | 3.56 1.30–5.81 0.71–6.40 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.25 0.20–2.30 0.00–2.56 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.28 1.11–5.46 0.55–6.02 | 23% 21% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.70 0.26–3.13 0.00–3.52 | 4.69 3.13–6.25 2.71–6.67 | 6.38 3.39–9.38 2.58–10.19 | 84% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.