Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
19%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction0.852.203.05safe0.00–1.821.35–3.061.23–4.88safer0.00–2.071.12–3.280.75–5.36
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.106.209.30safe1.24–4.974.46–7.945.70–12.91safer0.75–5.463.99–8.414.74–13.87
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8517.1827.02safe5.92–13.7713.61–20.7419.54–34.51safer4.83–14.8612.65–21.7017.49–36.56
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5.6211.0816.70safe2.68–8.578.40–13.7611.08–22.33safer1.85–9.397.66–14.509.51–23.89
Blocked shots
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.354.156.50safe0.47–4.232.50–5.812.97–10.04safer0.00–4.782.01–6.301.93–11.08
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.146.119.25safe0.93–5.354.11–8.115.04–13.46safer0.35–5.933.58–8.643.93–14.57
Possession %
14%
84%
homeawayprediction41.9659.62safe35.17–48.7552.83–66.40safer33.50–50.4251.16–68.08
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction413564977safe345–480498–631843–1111safer327–498480–648808–1146
Pass accuracy %
26%
69%
homeawayprediction78.8483.29safe74.81–82.8778.96–87.61safer73.52–84.1677.65–88.92
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4312.4223.85safe8.59–14.279.47–15.3618.07–29.63safer7.84–15.028.72–16.1116.56–31.13
Offsides
40%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.683.45safe0.60–2.920.59–2.781.19–5.70safer0.30–3.220.30–3.070.61–6.29
Yellow cards
39%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.723.45safe0.68–2.780.59–2.851.27–5.63safer0.42–3.050.30–3.140.72–6.19
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
72%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.112.126.24safe2.68–5.550.57–3.683.24–9.23safer2.29–5.940.14–4.112.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.85 0.00–1.82 0.00–2.07 | 2.20 1.35–3.06 1.12–3.28 | 3.05 1.23–4.88 0.75–5.36 | 13% 19% 68% |
| Shots on target | 3.10 1.24–4.97 0.75–5.46 | 6.20 4.46–7.94 3.99–8.41 | 9.30 5.70–12.91 4.74–13.87 | 80% |
| Total shots | 9.85 5.92–13.77 4.83–14.86 | 17.18 13.61–20.74 12.65–21.70 | 27.02 19.54–34.51 17.49–36.56 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 5.62 2.68–8.57 1.85–9.39 | 11.08 8.40–13.76 7.66–14.50 | 16.70 11.08–22.33 9.51–23.89 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 2.35 0.47–4.23 0.00–4.78 | 4.15 2.50–5.81 2.01–6.30 | 6.50 2.97–10.04 1.93–11.08 | 18% 69% |
| Corners | 3.14 0.93–5.35 0.35–5.93 | 6.11 4.11–8.11 3.58–8.64 | 9.25 5.04–13.46 3.93–14.57 | 79% |
| Possession % | 41.96 35.17–48.75 33.50–50.42 | 59.62 52.83–66.40 51.16–68.08 | — | 14% 84% |
| Passes | 413 345–480 327–498 | 564 498–631 480–648 | 977 843–1111 808–1146 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.84 74.81–82.87 73.52–84.16 | 83.29 78.96–87.61 77.65–88.92 | — | 26% 69% |
| Fouls | 11.43 8.59–14.27 7.84–15.02 | 12.42 9.47–15.36 8.72–16.11 | 23.85 18.07–29.63 16.56–31.13 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.68 0.59–2.78 0.30–3.07 | 3.45 1.19–5.70 0.61–6.29 | 40% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.72–6.19 | 39% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.11 2.68–5.55 2.29–5.94 | 2.12 0.57–3.68 0.14–4.11 | 6.24 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 72% 15% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.