Serie A·Regular Season - 9·
Serie A·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
27%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.272.50safe0.26–2.200.41–2.120.68–4.32safer0.01–2.450.19–2.350.20–4.80
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.494.108.59safe2.62–6.352.36–5.854.98–12.19safer2.13–6.841.89–6.314.03–13.15
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3611.5225.87safe10.43–18.287.95–15.0818.39–33.36safer9.34–19.386.99–16.0416.34–35.41
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.607.4317.03safe6.66–12.544.74–10.1111.40–22.65safer5.83–13.374.01–10.849.84–24.22
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.943.517.45safe2.06–5.821.85–5.163.91–10.98safer1.51–6.361.36–5.652.87–12.02
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.284.7210.00safe3.07–7.502.72–6.725.79–14.22safer2.50–8.072.18–7.254.68–15.32
Possession %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction43.5656.55safe36.77–50.3549.77–63.34safer35.10–52.0248.10–65.01
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction392518910safe325–460452–584777–1044safer307–478434–602741–1080
Pass accuracy %
14%
82%
homeawayprediction76.3284.05safe72.29–80.3479.73–88.38safer70.99–81.6478.42–89.68
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3811.3423.72safe9.54–15.218.40–14.2917.93–29.50safer8.78–15.977.65–15.0316.43–31.00
Offsides
60%
20%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.161.183.34safe1.00–3.320.08–2.271.09–5.59safer0.70–3.620.00–2.560.50–6.18
Yellow cards
45%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.703.66safe0.91–3.010.57–2.821.48–5.83safer0.65–3.280.27–3.120.92–6.39
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.326.11safe1.35–4.221.76–4.883.11–9.10safer0.96–4.611.34–5.302.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.27 0.41–2.12 0.19–2.35 | 2.50 0.68–4.32 0.20–4.80 | 36% 27% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.49 2.62–6.35 2.13–6.84 | 4.10 2.36–5.85 1.89–6.31 | 8.59 4.98–12.19 4.03–13.15 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 14.36 10.43–18.28 9.34–19.38 | 11.52 7.95–15.08 6.99–16.04 | 25.87 18.39–33.36 16.34–35.41 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 9.60 6.66–12.54 5.83–13.37 | 7.43 4.74–10.11 4.01–10.84 | 17.03 11.40–22.65 9.84–24.22 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.94 2.06–5.82 1.51–6.36 | 3.51 1.85–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 7.45 3.91–10.98 2.87–12.02 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.28 3.07–7.50 2.50–8.07 | 4.72 2.72–6.72 2.18–7.25 | 10.00 5.79–14.22 4.68–15.32 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 43.56 36.77–50.35 35.10–52.02 | 56.55 49.77–63.34 48.10–65.01 | — | 20% 76% |
| Passes | 392 325–460 307–478 | 518 452–584 434–602 | 910 777–1044 741–1080 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.32 72.29–80.34 70.99–81.64 | 84.05 79.73–88.38 78.42–89.68 | — | 14% 82% |
| Fouls | 12.38 9.54–15.21 8.78–15.97 | 11.34 8.40–14.29 7.65–15.03 | 23.72 17.93–29.50 16.43–31.00 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.16 1.00–3.32 0.70–3.62 | 1.18 0.08–2.27 0.00–2.56 | 3.34 1.09–5.59 0.50–6.18 | 60% 20% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.65–3.28 | 1.70 0.57–2.82 0.27–3.12 | 3.66 1.48–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 45% 22% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.32 1.76–4.88 1.34–5.30 | 6.11 3.11–9.10 2.30–9.91 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.