Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
23%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction0.901.802.71safe0.00–1.870.95–2.660.88–4.53safer0.00–2.120.72–2.890.40–5.01
Shots on target
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.245.408.64safe1.38–5.103.66–7.145.04–12.25safer0.89–5.593.19–7.614.08–13.20
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4015.7526.15safe6.47–14.3212.18–19.3118.66–33.63safer5.38–15.4111.22–20.2716.61–35.68
Shots in box
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.249.9516.19safe3.30–9.187.27–12.6310.57–21.81safer2.47–10.016.53–13.379.00–23.38
Blocked shots
23%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.974.497.46safe1.09–4.852.83–6.143.92–10.99safer0.54–5.402.34–6.632.88–12.03
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.865.669.53safe1.65–6.083.66–7.665.31–13.74safer1.08–6.653.13–8.204.21–14.85
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.1258.18safe35.33–48.9151.40–64.97safer33.66–50.5849.73–66.64
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction373513886safe306–440446–579752–1020safer288–459429–597717–1055
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction67.8777.52safe63.84–71.9073.20–81.85safer62.55–73.1971.89–83.15
Fouls
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6613.8724.54safe7.83–13.5010.93–16.8218.75–30.32safer7.07–14.2610.18–17.5717.25–31.82
Offsides
30%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.983.50safe0.36–2.680.89–3.081.25–5.75safer0.05–2.980.60–3.360.66–6.34
Yellow cards
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.933.98safe1.00–3.100.80–3.061.80–6.16safer0.73–3.370.51–3.351.24–6.71
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
65%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.802.336.14safe2.37–5.240.78–3.893.15–9.13safer1.98–5.630.35–4.322.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.90 0.00–1.87 0.00–2.12 | 1.80 0.95–2.66 0.72–2.89 | 2.71 0.88–4.53 0.40–5.01 | 19% 23% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.24 1.38–5.10 0.89–5.59 | 5.40 3.66–7.14 3.19–7.61 | 8.64 5.04–12.25 4.08–13.20 | 18% 71% |
| Total shots | 10.40 6.47–14.32 5.38–15.41 | 15.75 12.18–19.31 11.22–20.27 | 26.15 18.66–33.63 16.61–35.68 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 6.24 3.30–9.18 2.47–10.01 | 9.95 7.27–12.63 6.53–13.37 | 16.19 10.57–21.81 9.00–23.38 | 15% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 2.97 1.09–4.85 0.54–5.40 | 4.49 2.83–6.14 2.34–6.63 | 7.46 3.92–10.99 2.88–12.03 | 23% 64% |
| Corners | 3.86 1.65–6.08 1.08–6.65 | 5.66 3.66–7.66 3.13–8.20 | 9.53 5.31–13.74 4.21–14.85 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 42.12 35.33–48.91 33.66–50.58 | 58.18 51.40–64.97 49.73–66.64 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 373 306–440 288–459 | 513 446–579 429–597 | 886 752–1020 717–1055 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.87 63.84–71.90 62.55–73.19 | 77.52 73.20–81.85 71.89–83.15 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 10.66 7.83–13.50 7.07–14.26 | 13.87 10.93–16.82 10.18–17.57 | 24.54 18.75–30.32 17.25–31.82 | 23% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.05–2.98 | 1.98 0.89–3.08 0.60–3.36 | 3.50 1.25–5.75 0.66–6.34 | 30% 22% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.73–3.37 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.98 1.80–6.16 1.24–6.71 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.80 2.37–5.24 1.98–5.63 | 2.33 0.78–3.89 0.35–4.32 | 6.14 3.15–9.13 2.33–9.94 | 65% 14% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.