Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
20%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.020.762.78safe1.05–2.990.00–1.610.96–4.60safer0.80–3.240.00–1.840.48–5.08
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.712.709.42safe4.85–8.580.96–4.455.81–13.02safer4.36–9.070.49–4.914.86–13.98
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.568.1926.75safe14.63–22.484.63–11.7519.26–34.23safer13.54–23.573.67–12.7117.21–36.28
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.274.9617.23safe9.33–15.212.28–7.6411.61–22.86safer8.50–16.041.54–8.3810.04–24.42
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.202.487.68safe3.32–7.080.83–4.144.15–11.22safer2.77–7.620.34–4.633.11–12.25
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.723.129.84safe4.51–8.931.12–5.125.63–14.05safer3.93–9.510.58–5.654.52–15.16
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.2739.05safe53.48–67.0632.26–45.83safer51.81–68.7330.59–47.50
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction551368919safe484–619301–434785–1053safer466–637284–452750–1088
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction79.1068.94safe75.08–83.1364.62–73.27safer73.78–84.4363.31–74.58
Fouls
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7810.8023.57safe9.94–15.627.85–13.7417.79–29.36safer9.19–16.377.10–14.4916.29–30.86
Offsides
54%
21%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.393.51safe0.96–3.280.30–2.491.26–5.77safer0.66–3.580.01–2.780.67–6.36
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.372.023.40safe0.32–2.420.90–3.151.22–5.58safer0.06–2.690.60–3.450.66–6.13
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction1.904.316.20safe0.46–3.332.75–5.863.21–9.20safer0.07–3.722.33–6.292.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.02 1.05–2.99 0.80–3.24 | 0.76 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.84 | 2.78 0.96–4.60 0.48–5.08 | 67% 20% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.71 4.85–8.58 4.36–9.07 | 2.70 0.96–4.45 0.49–4.91 | 9.42 5.81–13.02 4.86–13.98 | 88% |
| Total shots | 18.56 14.63–22.48 13.54–23.57 | 8.19 4.63–11.75 3.67–12.71 | 26.75 19.26–34.23 17.21–36.28 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.27 9.33–15.21 8.50–16.04 | 4.96 2.28–7.64 1.54–8.38 | 17.23 11.61–22.86 10.04–24.42 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.20 3.32–7.08 2.77–7.62 | 2.48 0.83–4.14 0.34–4.63 | 7.68 4.15–11.22 3.11–12.25 | 79% |
| Corners | 6.72 4.51–8.93 3.93–9.51 | 3.12 1.12–5.12 0.58–5.65 | 9.84 5.63–14.05 4.52–15.16 | 84% |
| Possession % | 60.27 53.48–67.06 51.81–68.73 | 39.05 32.26–45.83 30.59–47.50 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 551 484–619 466–637 | 368 301–434 284–452 | 919 785–1053 750–1088 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.10 75.08–83.13 73.78–84.43 | 68.94 64.62–73.27 63.31–74.58 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 12.78 9.94–15.62 9.19–16.37 | 10.80 7.85–13.74 7.10–14.49 | 23.57 17.79–29.36 16.29–30.86 | 62% 30% |
| Offsides | 2.12 0.96–3.28 0.66–3.58 | 1.39 0.30–2.49 0.01–2.78 | 3.51 1.26–5.77 0.67–6.36 | 54% 21% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.06–2.69 | 2.02 0.90–3.15 0.60–3.45 | 3.40 1.22–5.58 0.66–6.13 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 89% |
| GK saves | 1.90 0.46–3.33 0.07–3.72 | 4.31 2.75–5.86 2.33–6.29 | 6.20 3.21–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.