Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.813.03safe0.25–2.190.96–2.661.21–4.85safer0.00–2.440.73–2.890.73–5.33
Shots on target
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.445.079.51safe2.58–6.303.33–6.815.90–13.11safer2.09–6.792.86–7.284.95–14.07
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1513.0827.23safe10.23–18.089.52–16.6419.75–34.72safer9.14–19.178.56–17.6017.70–36.77
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction9.199.6418.83safe6.25–12.136.96–12.3213.21–24.46safer5.42–12.966.22–13.0611.64–26.02
Blocked shots
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.093.968.04safe2.20–5.972.30–5.614.51–11.58safer1.66–6.511.81–6.103.47–12.61
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.925.029.94safe2.70–7.133.02–7.025.73–14.15safer2.13–7.702.49–7.564.62–15.26
Possession %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction43.0456.58safe36.25–49.8349.80–63.37safer34.58–51.5048.13–65.04
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction372502875safe305–440436–569741–1008safer287–458418–586705–1044
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction76.3179.20safe72.28–80.3374.88–83.52safer70.98–81.6373.57–84.83
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1212.1923.31safe8.29–13.969.25–15.1417.53–29.10safer7.53–14.728.50–15.8816.03–30.60
Offsides
40%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.412.92safe0.34–2.660.32–2.510.66–5.17safer0.04–2.960.03–2.800.07–5.76
Yellow cards
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.703.42safe0.67–2.760.57–2.831.24–5.60safer0.40–3.030.28–3.120.68–6.15
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.062.986.04safe1.62–4.491.42–4.533.04–9.03safer1.23–4.881.00–4.962.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.81 0.96–2.66 0.73–2.89 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.44 2.58–6.30 2.09–6.79 | 5.07 3.33–6.81 2.86–7.28 | 9.51 5.90–13.11 4.95–14.07 | 36% 52% |
| Total shots | 14.15 10.23–18.08 9.14–19.17 | 13.08 9.52–16.64 8.56–17.60 | 27.23 19.75–34.72 17.70–36.77 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 9.19 6.25–12.13 5.42–12.96 | 9.64 6.96–12.32 6.22–13.06 | 18.83 13.21–24.46 11.64–26.02 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 4.09 2.20–5.97 1.66–6.51 | 3.96 2.30–5.61 1.81–6.10 | 8.04 4.51–11.58 3.47–12.61 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Corners | 4.92 2.70–7.13 2.13–7.70 | 5.02 3.02–7.02 2.49–7.56 | 9.94 5.73–14.15 4.62–15.26 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 43.04 36.25–49.83 34.58–51.50 | 56.58 49.80–63.37 48.13–65.04 | — | 20% 77% |
| Passes | 372 305–440 287–458 | 502 436–569 418–586 | 875 741–1008 705–1044 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.31 72.28–80.33 70.98–81.63 | 79.20 74.88–83.52 73.57–84.83 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.12 8.29–13.96 7.53–14.72 | 12.19 9.25–15.14 8.50–15.88 | 23.31 17.53–29.10 16.03–30.60 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 1.41 0.32–2.51 0.03–2.80 | 2.92 0.66–5.17 0.07–5.76 | 40% 25% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.68–6.15 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.06 1.62–4.49 1.23–4.88 | 2.98 1.42–4.53 1.00–4.96 | 6.04 3.04–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+