Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
20%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.161.103.26safe1.19–3.130.25–1.951.44–5.08safer0.94–3.380.02–2.180.96–5.56
Shots on target
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.974.0310.00safe4.10–7.832.29–5.776.39–13.60safer3.61–8.321.82–6.245.44–14.56
Total shots
76%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4412.1628.60safe12.51–20.368.60–15.7221.11–36.08safer11.42–21.457.64–16.6819.06–38.14
Shots in box
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction11.567.9719.53safe8.61–14.505.29–10.6513.90–25.15safer7.78–15.334.55–11.3912.34–26.72
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.442.887.32safe2.56–6.321.22–4.533.78–10.85safer2.01–6.860.73–5.022.74–11.89
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.523.7910.31safe4.30–8.731.79–5.796.09–14.52safer3.73–9.301.26–6.334.99–15.63
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.9639.52safe54.17–67.7532.74–46.31safer52.50–69.4231.07–47.98
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction569366935safe502–636300–433802–1069safer484–654282–450766–1105
Pass accuracy %
70%
25%
homeawayprediction81.6777.03safe77.64–85.7072.70–81.35safer76.35–86.9971.39–82.66
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4911.3222.81safe8.65–14.338.38–14.2717.03–28.60safer7.90–15.097.63–15.0115.53–30.10
Offsides
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.382.84safe0.29–2.610.29–2.480.58–5.09safer0.00–2.910.00–2.770.00–5.68
Yellow cards
30%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.733.07safe0.29–2.390.60–2.860.89–5.25safer0.03–2.660.31–3.150.33–5.81
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.783.496.27safe1.34–4.211.93–5.053.27–9.26safer0.95–4.601.51–5.472.46–10.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.16 1.19–3.13 0.94–3.38 | 1.10 0.25–1.95 0.02–2.18 | 3.26 1.44–5.08 0.96–5.56 | 62% 20% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.97 4.10–7.83 3.61–8.32 | 4.03 2.29–5.77 1.82–6.24 | 10.00 6.39–13.60 5.44–14.56 | 68% 22% |
| Total shots | 16.44 12.51–20.36 11.42–21.45 | 12.16 8.60–15.72 7.64–16.68 | 28.60 21.11–36.08 19.06–38.14 | 76% 19% |
| Shots in box | 11.56 8.61–14.50 7.78–15.33 | 7.97 5.29–10.65 4.55–11.39 | 19.53 13.90–25.15 12.34–26.72 | 76% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.44 2.56–6.32 2.01–6.86 | 2.88 1.22–4.53 0.73–5.02 | 7.32 3.78–10.85 2.74–11.89 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 6.52 4.30–8.73 3.73–9.30 | 3.79 1.79–5.79 1.26–6.33 | 10.31 6.09–14.52 4.99–15.63 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 60.96 54.17–67.75 52.50–69.42 | 39.52 32.74–46.31 31.07–47.98 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 569 502–636 484–654 | 366 300–433 282–450 | 935 802–1069 766–1105 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.67 77.64–85.70 76.35–86.99 | 77.03 72.70–81.35 71.39–82.66 | — | 70% 25% |
| Fouls | 11.49 8.65–14.33 7.90–15.09 | 11.32 8.38–14.27 7.63–15.01 | 22.81 17.03–28.60 15.53–30.10 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.38 0.29–2.48 0.00–2.77 | 2.84 0.58–5.09 0.00–5.68 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.03–2.66 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.07 0.89–5.25 0.33–5.81 | 30% 24% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.34–4.21 0.95–4.60 | 3.49 1.93–5.05 1.51–5.47 | 6.27 3.27–9.26 2.46–10.07 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.