Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
26%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.502.59safe0.12–2.050.64–2.350.76–4.41safer0.00–2.310.42–2.580.28–4.89
Shots on target
35%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.774.388.15safe1.91–5.642.64–6.124.55–11.76safer1.42–6.132.17–6.593.59–12.71
Total shots
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9212.7423.66safe6.99–14.849.18–16.3016.17–31.14safer5.90–15.938.22–17.2614.12–33.19
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction7.198.3415.53safe4.24–10.135.66–11.039.91–21.15safer3.41–10.964.93–11.768.34–22.72
Blocked shots
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.263.426.68safe1.38–5.151.76–5.073.14–10.21safer0.84–5.691.27–5.562.11–11.25
Corners
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.834.849.67safe2.61–7.042.84–6.845.45–13.88safer2.04–7.612.30–7.374.34–14.99
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction50.0850.65safe43.29–56.8743.86–57.43safer41.62–58.5442.19–59.10
Passes
46%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction420431851safe353–487364–497717–985safer335–506347–515682–1020
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction81.9782.30safe77.94–86.0077.98–86.63safer76.65–87.2976.67–87.94
Fouls
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7714.1324.90safe7.93–13.6111.18–17.0719.12–30.68safer7.18–14.3610.44–17.8217.61–32.19
Offsides
57%
20%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.443.72safe1.12–3.440.34–2.531.46–5.97safer0.82–3.740.06–2.820.87–6.56
Yellow cards
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.243.97safe0.68–2.781.11–3.371.79–6.15safer0.42–3.050.82–3.661.24–6.71
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.822.725.54safe1.38–4.251.17–4.282.55–8.53safer0.99–4.640.74–4.701.73–9.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.05 0.00–2.31 | 1.50 0.64–2.35 0.42–2.58 | 2.59 0.76–4.41 0.28–4.89 | 27% 26% 47% |
| Shots on target | 3.77 1.91–5.64 1.42–6.13 | 4.38 2.64–6.12 2.17–6.59 | 8.15 4.55–11.76 3.59–12.71 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Total shots | 10.92 6.99–14.84 5.90–15.93 | 12.74 9.18–16.30 8.22–17.26 | 23.66 16.17–31.14 14.12–33.19 | 32% 61% |
| Shots in box | 7.19 4.24–10.13 3.41–10.96 | 8.34 5.66–11.03 4.93–11.76 | 15.53 9.91–21.15 8.34–22.72 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.26 1.38–5.15 0.84–5.69 | 3.42 1.76–5.07 1.27–5.56 | 6.68 3.14–10.21 2.11–11.25 | 40% 16% 44% |
| Corners | 4.83 2.61–7.04 2.04–7.61 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.30–7.37 | 9.67 5.45–13.88 4.34–14.99 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Possession % | 50.08 43.29–56.87 41.62–58.54 | 50.65 43.86–57.43 42.19–59.10 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 420 353–487 335–506 | 431 364–497 347–515 | 851 717–985 682–1020 | 46% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.97 77.94–86.00 76.65–87.29 | 82.30 77.98–86.63 76.67–87.94 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 10.77 7.93–13.61 7.18–14.36 | 14.13 11.18–17.07 10.44–17.82 | 24.90 19.12–30.68 17.61–32.19 | 22% 72% |
| Offsides | 2.28 1.12–3.44 0.82–3.74 | 1.44 0.34–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 3.72 1.46–5.97 0.87–6.56 | 57% 20% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 2.24 1.11–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 3.97 1.79–6.15 1.24–6.71 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.38–4.25 0.99–4.64 | 2.72 1.17–4.28 0.74–4.70 | 5.54 2.55–8.53 1.73–9.34 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+