Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
26%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.520.962.48safe0.55–2.490.11–1.820.66–4.30safer0.30–2.740.00–2.040.18–4.78
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.823.528.34safe2.95–6.681.78–5.274.74–11.95safer2.46–7.171.32–5.733.78–12.90
Total shots
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8510.7424.60safe9.93–17.787.18–14.3017.11–32.08safer8.84–18.876.22–15.2615.06–34.13
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.506.3415.84safe6.56–12.453.65–9.0210.22–21.46safer5.73–13.282.92–9.758.65–23.03
Blocked shots
62%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.092.806.90safe2.21–5.971.15–4.463.36–10.43safer1.66–6.520.66–4.952.32–11.47
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.434.159.58safe3.22–7.642.15–6.155.36–13.79safer2.64–8.221.61–6.684.26–14.90
Possession %
59%
37%
homeawayprediction52.3347.68safe45.54–59.1240.89–54.46safer43.87–60.7939.22–56.13
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction455415870safe387–522348–481736–1003safer369–540331–499700–1039
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction83.3581.70safe79.32–87.3877.38–86.02safer78.03–88.6776.07–87.33
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7011.3224.02safe9.87–15.548.37–14.2618.24–29.80safer9.11–16.307.62–15.0116.73–31.31
Offsides
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.923.50safe0.41–2.730.83–3.021.24–5.75safer0.11–3.040.54–3.300.65–6.34
Yellow cards
37%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.783.48safe0.65–2.750.65–2.901.30–5.66safer0.39–3.020.36–3.200.74–6.21
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.335.72safe0.95–3.821.77–4.892.72–8.71safer0.56–4.211.35–5.311.91–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.55–2.49 0.30–2.74 | 0.96 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.04 | 2.48 0.66–4.30 0.18–4.78 | 50% 26% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.82 2.95–6.68 2.46–7.17 | 3.52 1.78–5.27 1.32–5.73 | 8.34 4.74–11.95 3.78–12.90 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 13.85 9.93–17.78 8.84–18.87 | 10.74 7.18–14.30 6.22–15.26 | 24.60 17.11–32.08 15.06–34.13 | 70% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.50 6.56–12.45 5.73–13.28 | 6.34 3.65–9.02 2.92–9.75 | 15.84 10.22–21.46 8.65–23.03 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.09 2.21–5.97 1.66–6.52 | 2.80 1.15–4.46 0.66–4.95 | 6.90 3.36–10.43 2.32–11.47 | 62% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.43 3.22–7.64 2.64–8.22 | 4.15 2.15–6.15 1.61–6.68 | 9.58 5.36–13.79 4.26–14.90 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 52.33 45.54–59.12 43.87–60.79 | 47.68 40.89–54.46 39.22–56.13 | — | 59% 37% |
| Passes | 455 387–522 369–540 | 415 348–481 331–499 | 870 736–1003 700–1039 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.35 79.32–87.38 78.03–88.67 | 81.70 77.38–86.02 76.07–87.33 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 12.70 9.87–15.54 9.11–16.30 | 11.32 8.37–14.26 7.62–15.01 | 24.02 18.24–29.80 16.73–31.31 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.04 | 1.92 0.83–3.02 0.54–3.30 | 3.50 1.24–5.75 0.65–6.34 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.39–3.02 | 1.78 0.65–2.90 0.36–3.20 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.74–6.21 | 37% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.95–3.82 0.56–4.21 | 3.33 1.77–4.89 1.35–5.31 | 5.72 2.72–8.71 1.91–9.52 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+