Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.412.80safe0.43–2.360.55–2.260.98–4.62safer0.17–2.610.32–2.490.50–5.10
Shots on target
44%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.664.589.23safe2.79–6.522.84–6.325.63–12.84safer2.30–7.012.37–6.794.67–13.80
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5613.6827.25safe9.64–17.4910.12–17.2519.76–34.73safer8.55–18.589.16–18.2117.71–36.78
Shots in box
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.108.3516.44safe5.15–11.045.67–11.0310.82–22.07safer4.32–11.874.93–11.779.25–23.63
Blocked shots
37%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.614.027.63safe1.72–5.492.37–5.674.09–11.16safer1.18–6.031.88–6.173.06–12.20
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.744.979.72safe2.53–6.962.97–6.975.50–13.93safer1.95–7.532.44–7.514.39–15.04
Possession %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction48.1252.52safe41.33–54.9145.74–59.31safer39.66–56.5844.07–60.98
Passes
41%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction451477929safe384–519411–544795–1062safer366–537393–561759–1098
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction85.1286.33safe81.09–89.1582.01–90.66safer79.80–90.4480.70–91.97
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3412.9425.28safe9.50–15.1810.00–15.8919.50–31.07safer8.75–15.939.25–16.6418.00–32.57
Offsides
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.092.77safe0.52–2.840.00–2.180.51–5.02safer0.22–3.140.00–2.470.00–5.61
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.192.174.36safe1.14–3.231.04–3.302.18–6.53safer0.87–3.500.75–3.591.62–7.09
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.100.23safe0.00–0.290.00–0.280.00–0.57safer0.00–0.440.00–0.420.00–0.86
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.043.296.33safe1.61–4.481.73–4.853.34–9.33safer1.22–4.871.31–5.272.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.43–2.36 0.17–2.61 | 1.41 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.49 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.66 2.79–6.52 2.30–7.01 | 4.58 2.84–6.32 2.37–6.79 | 9.23 5.63–12.84 4.67–13.80 | 44% 13% 42% |
| Total shots | 13.56 9.64–17.49 8.55–18.58 | 13.68 10.12–17.25 9.16–18.21 | 27.25 19.76–34.73 17.71–36.78 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 8.10 5.15–11.04 4.32–11.87 | 8.35 5.67–11.03 4.93–11.77 | 16.44 10.82–22.07 9.25–23.63 | 43% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.72–5.49 1.18–6.03 | 4.02 2.37–5.67 1.88–6.17 | 7.63 4.09–11.16 3.06–12.20 | 37% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 4.74 2.53–6.96 1.95–7.53 | 4.97 2.97–6.97 2.44–7.51 | 9.72 5.50–13.93 4.39–15.04 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 48.12 41.33–54.91 39.66–56.58 | 52.52 45.74–59.31 44.07–60.98 | — | 37% 58% |
| Passes | 451 384–519 366–537 | 477 411–544 393–561 | 929 795–1062 759–1098 | 41% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.12 81.09–89.15 79.80–90.44 | 86.33 82.01–90.66 80.70–91.97 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 12.34 9.50–15.18 8.75–15.93 | 12.94 10.00–15.89 9.25–16.64 | 25.28 19.50–31.07 18.00–32.57 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.09 0.00–2.18 0.00–2.47 | 2.77 0.51–5.02 0.00–5.61 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 2.19 1.14–3.23 0.87–3.50 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 4.36 2.18–6.53 1.62–7.09 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.04 1.61–4.48 1.22–4.87 | 3.29 1.73–4.85 1.31–5.27 | 6.33 3.34–9.33 2.53–10.14 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.