Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
23%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.142.91safe0.81–2.740.28–1.991.09–4.74safer0.56–3.000.06–2.220.61–5.22
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.463.959.41safe3.59–7.322.21–5.695.80–13.01safer3.11–7.811.74–6.164.85–13.97
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.8311.6928.53safe12.91–20.768.13–15.2621.04–36.01safer11.82–21.857.17–16.2118.99–38.06
Shots in box
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction10.416.9117.33safe7.47–13.364.23–9.5911.70–22.95safer6.64–14.193.50–10.3310.14–24.52
Blocked shots
64%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.543.037.57safe2.66–6.431.37–4.684.04–11.11safer2.12–6.970.88–5.173.00–12.14
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.873.869.73safe3.66–8.081.86–5.865.52–13.95safer3.08–8.661.33–6.404.41–15.05
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction52.1247.01safe45.33–58.9140.23–53.80safer43.66–60.5838.55–55.47
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction498454952safe431–565388–520818–1086safer413–583370–538783–1121
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction88.0085.90safe83.97–92.0381.58–90.22safer82.68–93.3380.27–91.53
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2511.7525.01safe10.42–16.098.81–14.7019.22–30.79safer9.66–16.858.06–15.4517.72–32.29
Offsides
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.432.85safe0.26–2.590.34–2.520.60–5.11safer0.00–2.890.05–2.810.01–5.70
Yellow cards
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.263.98safe0.66–2.761.13–3.391.80–6.15safer0.40–3.030.84–3.681.24–6.71
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.623.626.24safe1.19–4.062.06–5.173.25–9.23safer0.80–4.451.64–5.602.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 0.81–2.74 0.56–3.00 | 1.14 0.28–1.99 0.06–2.22 | 2.91 1.09–4.74 0.61–5.22 | 52% 23% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.46 3.59–7.32 3.11–7.81 | 3.95 2.21–5.69 1.74–6.16 | 9.41 5.80–13.01 4.85–13.97 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 16.83 12.91–20.76 11.82–21.85 | 11.69 8.13–15.26 7.17–16.21 | 28.53 21.04–36.01 18.99–38.06 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.41 7.47–13.36 6.64–14.19 | 6.91 4.23–9.59 3.50–10.33 | 17.33 11.70–22.95 10.14–24.52 | 77% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.54 2.66–6.43 2.12–6.97 | 3.03 1.37–4.68 0.88–5.17 | 7.57 4.04–11.11 3.00–12.14 | 64% 23% |
| Corners | 5.87 3.66–8.08 3.08–8.66 | 3.86 1.86–5.86 1.33–6.40 | 9.73 5.52–13.95 4.41–15.05 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 52.12 45.33–58.91 43.66–60.58 | 47.01 40.23–53.80 38.55–55.47 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 498 431–565 413–583 | 454 388–520 370–538 | 952 818–1086 783–1121 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.00 83.97–92.03 82.68–93.33 | 85.90 81.58–90.22 80.27–91.53 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 13.25 10.42–16.09 9.66–16.85 | 11.75 8.81–14.70 8.06–15.45 | 25.01 19.22–30.79 17.72–32.29 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.26–2.59 0.00–2.89 | 1.43 0.34–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 2.85 0.60–5.11 0.01–5.70 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 3.98 1.80–6.15 1.24–6.71 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 3.62 2.06–5.17 1.64–5.60 | 6.24 3.25–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.