Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction0.992.703.69safe0.02–1.961.84–3.551.87–5.51safer0.00–2.211.61–3.781.39–5.99
Shots on target
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.796.7410.53safe1.93–5.655.00–8.486.93–14.14safer1.44–6.144.53–8.955.97–15.09
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9118.1529.06safe6.98–14.8314.59–21.7221.57–36.55safer5.89–15.9213.63–22.6719.52–38.60
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction6.3212.0518.37safe3.38–9.279.37–14.7312.75–23.99safer2.55–10.098.63–15.4611.18–25.56
Blocked shots
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.624.857.47safe0.74–4.503.20–6.513.94–11.01safer0.19–5.052.71–7.002.90–12.04
Corners
20%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction4.026.2010.22safe1.81–6.244.20–8.206.00–14.43safer1.23–6.813.66–8.734.90–15.54
Possession %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction41.5459.32safe34.75–48.3352.54–66.11safer33.08–50.0050.87–67.78
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction366544910safe299–433477–610776–1044safer281–451460–628740–1079
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction76.5885.07safe72.55–80.6180.75–89.40safer71.26–81.9079.44–90.70
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3313.2924.62safe8.49–14.1610.35–16.2418.84–30.40safer7.73–14.929.60–16.9917.33–31.91
Offsides
47%
18%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.782.445.22safe1.62–3.941.34–3.532.96–7.47safer1.32–4.241.06–3.822.37–8.06
Yellow cards
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.743.63safe0.85–2.950.61–2.861.46–5.81safer0.58–3.210.32–3.160.90–6.37
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.080.21safe0.00–0.290.00–0.270.00–0.56safer0.00–0.440.00–0.400.00–0.84
GK saves
68%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.262.546.79safe2.82–5.690.98–4.093.80–9.78safer2.43–6.080.56–4.522.99–10.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.02–1.96 0.00–2.21 | 2.70 1.84–3.55 1.61–3.78 | 3.69 1.87–5.51 1.39–5.99 | 15% 73% |
| Shots on target | 3.79 1.93–5.65 1.44–6.14 | 6.74 5.00–8.48 4.53–8.95 | 10.53 6.93–14.14 5.97–15.09 | 14% 78% |
| Total shots | 10.91 6.98–14.83 5.89–15.92 | 18.15 14.59–21.72 13.63–22.67 | 29.06 21.57–36.55 19.52–38.60 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 6.32 3.38–9.27 2.55–10.09 | 12.05 9.37–14.73 8.63–15.46 | 18.37 12.75–23.99 11.18–25.56 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 2.62 0.74–4.50 0.19–5.05 | 4.85 3.20–6.51 2.71–7.00 | 7.47 3.94–11.01 2.90–12.04 | 15% 74% |
| Corners | 4.02 1.81–6.24 1.23–6.81 | 6.20 4.20–8.20 3.66–8.73 | 10.22 6.00–14.43 4.90–15.54 | 20% 70% |
| Possession % | 41.54 34.75–48.33 33.08–50.00 | 59.32 52.54–66.11 50.87–67.78 | — | 13% 84% |
| Passes | 366 299–433 281–451 | 544 477–610 460–628 | 910 776–1044 740–1079 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.58 72.55–80.61 71.26–81.90 | 85.07 80.75–89.40 79.44–90.70 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.33 8.49–14.16 7.73–14.92 | 13.29 10.35–16.24 9.60–16.99 | 24.62 18.84–30.40 17.33–31.91 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.78 1.62–3.94 1.32–4.24 | 2.44 1.34–3.53 1.06–3.82 | 5.22 2.96–7.47 2.37–8.06 | 47% 18% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.58–3.21 | 1.74 0.61–2.86 0.32–3.16 | 3.63 1.46–5.81 0.90–6.37 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 4.26 2.82–5.69 2.43–6.08 | 2.54 0.98–4.09 0.56–4.52 | 6.79 3.80–9.78 2.99–10.60 | 68% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.