Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.510.873.38safe1.54–3.480.01–1.721.55–5.20safer1.29–3.730.00–1.951.07–5.68
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.813.2011.02safe5.95–9.681.46–4.957.41–14.62safer5.46–10.171.00–5.416.46–15.58
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.968.6529.61safe17.04–24.895.09–12.2222.13–37.10safer15.95–25.984.13–13.1720.08–39.15
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.245.4218.66safe10.30–16.182.74–8.1013.04–24.29safer9.47–17.012.00–8.8411.47–25.85
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.392.097.47safe3.50–7.270.44–3.743.94–11.01safer2.96–7.810.00–4.242.90–12.05
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.143.0710.20safe4.93–9.351.07–5.075.99–14.42safer4.35–9.930.53–5.604.88–15.53
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction61.2539.14safe54.46–68.0432.35–45.92safer52.79–69.7130.68–47.59
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction581357938safe514–648290–423804–1072safer496–667273–441769–1107
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction87.0178.49safe82.98–91.0474.17–82.82safer81.69–92.3372.86–84.12
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4111.3722.78safe8.58–14.258.42–14.3117.00–28.56safer7.82–15.017.68–15.0615.50–30.07
Offsides
36%
18%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.512.815.31safe1.34–3.671.71–3.903.06–7.57safer1.04–3.971.43–4.192.47–8.15
Yellow cards
22%
21%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.222.113.34safe0.18–2.270.99–3.241.16–5.52safer0.00–2.540.69–3.530.60–6.07
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.244.827.06safe0.81–3.683.26–6.374.06–10.05safer0.42–4.072.83–6.803.25–10.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.51 1.54–3.48 1.29–3.73 | 0.87 0.01–1.72 0.00–1.95 | 3.38 1.55–5.20 1.07–5.68 | 73% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.81 5.95–9.68 5.46–10.17 | 3.20 1.46–4.95 1.00–5.41 | 11.02 7.41–14.62 6.46–15.58 | 90% |
| Total shots | 20.96 17.04–24.89 15.95–25.98 | 8.65 5.09–12.22 4.13–13.17 | 29.61 22.13–37.10 20.08–39.15 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.24 10.30–16.18 9.47–17.01 | 5.42 2.74–8.10 2.00–8.84 | 18.66 13.04–24.29 11.47–25.85 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.39 3.50–7.27 2.96–7.81 | 2.09 0.44–3.74 0.00–4.24 | 7.47 3.94–11.01 2.90–12.05 | 85% |
| Corners | 7.14 4.93–9.35 4.35–9.93 | 3.07 1.07–5.07 0.53–5.60 | 10.20 5.99–14.42 4.88–15.53 | 87% |
| Possession % | 61.25 54.46–68.04 52.79–69.71 | 39.14 32.35–45.92 30.68–47.59 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 581 514–648 496–667 | 357 290–423 273–441 | 938 804–1072 769–1107 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.01 82.98–91.04 81.69–92.33 | 78.49 74.17–82.82 72.86–84.12 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.41 8.58–14.25 7.82–15.01 | 11.37 8.42–14.31 7.68–15.06 | 22.78 17.00–28.56 15.50–30.07 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.51 1.34–3.67 1.04–3.97 | 2.81 1.71–3.90 1.43–4.19 | 5.31 3.06–7.57 2.47–8.15 | 36% 18% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.22 0.18–2.27 0.00–2.54 | 2.11 0.99–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.34 1.16–5.52 0.60–6.07 | 22% 21% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.24 0.81–3.68 0.42–4.07 | 4.82 3.26–6.37 2.83–6.80 | 7.06 4.06–10.05 3.25–10.86 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+