Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.992.773.75safe0.02–1.951.91–3.621.93–5.58safer0.00–2.211.69–3.851.45–6.06
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.657.3110.96safe1.79–5.515.57–9.057.35–14.56safer1.30–6.005.10–9.526.40–15.52
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5317.8428.37safe6.61–14.4514.28–21.4120.89–35.86safer5.51–15.5513.32–22.3718.84–37.91
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction6.3312.4818.81safe3.39–9.279.80–15.1613.19–24.43safer2.56–10.109.06–15.9011.62–26.00
Blocked shots
22%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.974.527.50safe1.09–4.862.87–6.183.96–11.03safer0.55–5.402.38–6.672.93–12.07
Corners
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.676.159.83safe1.46–5.894.15–8.155.62–14.04safer0.89–6.463.62–8.694.51–15.15
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction38.5461.69safe31.75–45.3354.91–68.48safer30.08–47.0053.24–70.15
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction377588965safe310–444522–655832–1099safer292–462504–672796–1135
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction81.1888.93safe77.15–85.2184.61–93.26safer75.86–86.5183.30–94.57
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4911.1321.62safe7.65–13.338.18–14.0715.84–27.40safer6.90–14.087.43–14.8214.33–28.90
Offsides
37%
19%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.262.484.74safe1.10–3.421.39–3.582.49–7.00safer0.80–3.721.10–3.871.90–7.59
Yellow cards
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.493.39safe0.85–2.950.36–2.611.21–5.57safer0.59–3.220.07–2.910.65–6.12
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.592.497.07safe3.15–6.020.93–4.044.08–10.07safer2.76–6.410.51–4.473.27–10.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.02–1.95 0.00–2.21 | 2.77 1.91–3.62 1.69–3.85 | 3.75 1.93–5.58 1.45–6.06 | 15% 75% |
| Shots on target | 3.65 1.79–5.51 1.30–6.00 | 7.31 5.57–9.05 5.10–9.52 | 10.96 7.35–14.56 6.40–15.52 | 83% |
| Total shots | 10.53 6.61–14.45 5.51–15.55 | 17.84 14.28–21.41 13.32–22.37 | 28.37 20.89–35.86 18.84–37.91 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 6.33 3.39–9.27 2.56–10.10 | 12.48 9.80–15.16 9.06–15.90 | 18.81 13.19–24.43 11.62–26.00 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 2.97 1.09–4.86 0.55–5.40 | 4.52 2.87–6.18 2.38–6.67 | 7.50 3.96–11.03 2.93–12.07 | 22% 65% |
| Corners | 3.67 1.46–5.89 0.89–6.46 | 6.15 4.15–8.15 3.62–8.69 | 9.83 5.62–14.04 4.51–15.15 | 17% 74% |
| Possession % | 38.54 31.75–45.33 30.08–47.00 | 61.69 54.91–68.48 53.24–70.15 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 377 310–444 292–462 | 588 522–655 504–672 | 965 832–1099 796–1135 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.18 77.15–85.21 75.86–86.51 | 88.93 84.61–93.26 83.30–94.57 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 10.49 7.65–13.33 6.90–14.08 | 11.13 8.18–14.07 7.43–14.82 | 21.62 15.84–27.40 14.33–28.90 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.26 1.10–3.42 0.80–3.72 | 2.48 1.39–3.58 1.10–3.87 | 4.74 2.49–7.00 1.90–7.59 | 37% 19% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 1.49 0.36–2.61 0.07–2.91 | 3.39 1.21–5.57 0.65–6.12 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.59 3.15–6.02 2.76–6.41 | 2.49 0.93–4.04 0.51–4.47 | 7.07 4.08–10.07 3.27–10.88 | 73% 16% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.