Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.960.903.86safe1.99–3.930.04–1.752.03–5.68safer1.74–4.180.00–1.981.55–6.16
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.213.0411.26safe6.35–10.081.30–4.787.65–14.86safer5.86–10.570.83–5.256.70–15.82
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.328.2728.59safe16.40–24.244.71–11.8421.11–36.08safer15.30–25.343.75–12.8019.06–38.13
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction14.135.5819.71safe11.19–17.072.90–8.2614.09–25.33safer10.36–17.902.16–9.0012.52–26.90
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.012.067.07safe3.13–6.900.41–3.723.54–10.61safer2.59–7.440.00–4.212.50–11.65
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.022.749.76safe4.81–9.240.74–4.745.55–13.97safer4.24–9.810.20–5.274.44–15.08
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.8337.17safe57.04–70.6230.38–43.95safer55.37–72.2928.71–45.62
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction6363661002safe569–704299–432868–1136safer551–722282–450833–1172
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction91.1182.10safe87.08–95.1477.77–86.42safer85.79–96.4376.46–87.73
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2210.3120.53safe7.38–13.057.36–13.2514.74–26.31safer6.62–13.816.62–14.0013.24–27.81
Offsides
52%
19%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.461.854.31safe1.30–3.620.76–2.952.06–6.57safer1.00–3.920.47–3.231.47–7.16
Yellow cards
23%
24%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.031.692.71safe0.00–2.080.56–2.820.54–4.89safer0.00–2.340.27–3.110.00–5.45
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.120.16safe0.00–0.200.00–0.310.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.440.00–0.79
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.294.967.25safe0.85–3.733.40–6.514.25–10.24safer0.47–4.112.98–6.943.44–11.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.96 1.99–3.93 1.74–4.18 | 0.90 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 3.86 2.03–5.68 1.55–6.16 | 79% |
| Shots on target | 8.21 6.35–10.08 5.86–10.57 | 3.04 1.30–4.78 0.83–5.25 | 11.26 7.65–14.86 6.70–15.82 | 92% |
| Total shots | 20.32 16.40–24.24 15.30–25.34 | 8.27 4.71–11.84 3.75–12.80 | 28.59 21.11–36.08 19.06–38.13 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.13 11.19–17.07 10.36–17.90 | 5.58 2.90–8.26 2.16–9.00 | 19.71 14.09–25.33 12.52–26.90 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.01 3.13–6.90 2.59–7.44 | 2.06 0.41–3.72 0.00–4.21 | 7.07 3.54–10.61 2.50–11.65 | 83% |
| Corners | 7.02 4.81–9.24 4.24–9.81 | 2.74 0.74–4.74 0.20–5.27 | 9.76 5.55–13.97 4.44–15.08 | 89% |
| Possession % | 63.83 57.04–70.62 55.37–72.29 | 37.17 30.38–43.95 28.71–45.62 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 636 569–704 551–722 | 366 299–432 282–450 | 1002 868–1136 833–1172 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 91.11 87.08–95.14 85.79–96.43 | 82.10 77.77–86.42 76.46–87.73 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.22 7.38–13.05 6.62–13.81 | 10.31 7.36–13.25 6.62–14.00 | 20.53 14.74–26.31 13.24–27.81 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.46 1.30–3.62 1.00–3.92 | 1.85 0.76–2.95 0.47–3.23 | 4.31 2.06–6.57 1.47–7.16 | 52% 19% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.03 0.00–2.08 0.00–2.34 | 1.69 0.56–2.82 0.27–3.11 | 2.71 0.54–4.89 0.00–5.45 | 23% 24% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.85–3.73 0.47–4.11 | 4.96 3.40–6.51 2.98–6.94 | 7.25 4.25–10.24 3.44–11.05 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.