Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
20%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.050.902.95safe1.08–3.020.04–1.751.13–4.77safer0.83–3.270.00–1.980.65–5.25
Shots on target
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.253.339.58safe4.39–8.121.58–5.075.97–13.18safer3.90–8.611.12–5.535.02–14.14
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.449.8627.30safe13.51–21.366.30–13.4219.81–34.78safer12.42–22.455.34–14.3817.76–36.83
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction11.586.4918.07safe8.64–14.523.81–9.1712.45–23.69safer7.81–15.353.07–9.9110.88–25.26
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction4.932.177.10safe3.05–6.810.52–3.823.56–10.63safer2.51–7.360.02–4.312.53–11.67
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.783.4510.22safe4.57–8.991.45–5.456.01–14.44safer3.99–9.570.91–5.984.90–15.55
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction61.2239.44safe54.43–68.0132.66–46.23safer52.76–69.6830.99–47.90
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction571374945safe504–639307–440812–1079safer486–657290–458776–1115
Pass accuracy %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction88.6881.71safe84.65–92.7077.39–86.04safer83.35–94.0076.08–87.35
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0911.0922.18safe8.26–13.938.14–14.0316.40–27.96safer7.50–14.697.39–14.7814.89–29.46
Offsides
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.953.56safe0.44–2.760.86–3.041.30–5.81safer0.14–3.070.57–3.330.71–6.40
Yellow cards
25%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.322.013.32safe0.27–2.370.88–3.131.15–5.50safer0.00–2.630.59–3.430.59–6.06
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.194.316.50safe0.75–3.632.75–5.863.50–9.49safer0.37–4.012.33–6.292.69–10.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.05 1.08–3.02 0.83–3.27 | 0.90 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 2.95 1.13–4.77 0.65–5.25 | 64% 20% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.25 4.39–8.12 3.90–8.61 | 3.33 1.58–5.07 1.12–5.53 | 9.58 5.97–13.18 5.02–14.14 | 79% 13% |
| Total shots | 17.44 13.51–21.36 12.42–22.45 | 9.86 6.30–13.42 5.34–14.38 | 27.30 19.81–34.78 17.76–36.83 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.58 8.64–14.52 7.81–15.35 | 6.49 3.81–9.17 3.07–9.91 | 18.07 12.45–23.69 10.88–25.26 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.93 3.05–6.81 2.51–7.36 | 2.17 0.52–3.82 0.02–4.31 | 7.10 3.56–10.63 2.53–11.67 | 80% |
| Corners | 6.78 4.57–8.99 3.99–9.57 | 3.45 1.45–5.45 0.91–5.98 | 10.22 6.01–14.44 4.90–15.55 | 81% |
| Possession % | 61.22 54.43–68.01 52.76–69.68 | 39.44 32.66–46.23 30.99–47.90 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 571 504–639 486–657 | 374 307–440 290–458 | 945 812–1079 776–1115 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.68 84.65–92.70 83.35–94.00 | 81.71 77.39–86.04 76.08–87.35 | — | 80% 17% |
| Fouls | 11.09 8.26–13.93 7.50–14.69 | 11.09 8.14–14.03 7.39–14.78 | 22.18 16.40–27.96 14.89–29.46 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.07 | 1.95 0.86–3.04 0.57–3.33 | 3.56 1.30–5.81 0.71–6.40 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.27–2.37 0.00–2.63 | 2.01 0.88–3.13 0.59–3.43 | 3.32 1.15–5.50 0.59–6.06 | 25% 22% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.75–3.63 0.37–4.01 | 4.31 2.75–5.86 2.33–6.29 | 6.50 3.50–9.49 2.69–10.30 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.