Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
21%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction0.931.962.89safe0.00–1.901.11–2.821.07–4.72safer0.00–2.150.88–3.040.59–5.20
Shots on target
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.615.719.32safe1.74–5.473.97–7.465.72–12.93safer1.25–5.963.51–7.924.76–13.88
Total shots
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4515.5026.96safe7.53–15.3811.94–19.0719.47–34.44safer6.44–16.4710.98–20.0217.42–36.49
Shots in box
23%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction7.439.9317.35safe4.48–10.377.25–12.6111.73–22.98safer3.66–11.206.51–13.3510.16–24.54
Blocked shots
25%
13%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.074.417.48safe1.19–4.962.75–6.063.94–11.02safer0.65–5.502.26–6.552.91–12.05
Corners
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction4.106.0410.15safe1.89–6.324.04–8.045.93–14.36safer1.31–6.893.51–8.584.83–15.47
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.3859.95safe32.59–46.1753.16–66.73safer30.92–47.8451.49–68.40
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction384565948safe317–451498–631815–1082safer299–469481–649779–1118
Pass accuracy %
14%
82%
homeawayprediction80.7788.49safe76.74–84.8084.17–92.82safer75.45–86.1082.86–94.12
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6011.6723.27safe8.76–14.448.73–14.6217.49–29.06safer8.01–15.197.98–15.3715.99–30.56
Offsides
57%
20%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.473.79safe1.16–3.480.37–2.561.53–6.04safer0.86–3.780.08–2.850.95–6.63
Yellow cards
48%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.323.10safe0.73–2.830.19–2.450.92–5.28safer0.46–3.100.00–2.740.36–5.83
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.702.666.36safe2.26–5.141.10–4.213.36–9.35safer1.88–5.520.68–4.642.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.93 0.00–1.90 0.00–2.15 | 1.96 1.11–2.82 0.88–3.04 | 2.89 1.07–4.72 0.59–5.20 | 17% 21% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.61 1.74–5.47 1.25–5.96 | 5.71 3.97–7.46 3.51–7.92 | 9.32 5.72–12.93 4.76–13.88 | 19% 70% |
| Total shots | 11.45 7.53–15.38 6.44–16.47 | 15.50 11.94–19.07 10.98–20.02 | 26.96 19.47–34.44 17.42–36.49 | 19% 75% |
| Shots in box | 7.43 4.48–10.37 3.66–11.20 | 9.93 7.25–12.61 6.51–13.35 | 17.35 11.73–22.98 10.16–24.54 | 23% 68% |
| Blocked shots | 3.07 1.19–4.96 0.65–5.50 | 4.41 2.75–6.06 2.26–6.55 | 7.48 3.94–11.02 2.91–12.05 | 25% 13% 62% |
| Corners | 4.10 1.89–6.32 1.31–6.89 | 6.04 4.04–8.04 3.51–8.58 | 10.15 5.93–14.36 4.83–15.47 | 22% 67% |
| Possession % | 39.38 32.59–46.17 30.92–47.84 | 59.95 53.16–66.73 51.49–68.40 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 384 317–451 299–469 | 565 498–631 481–649 | 948 815–1082 779–1118 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.77 76.74–84.80 75.45–86.10 | 88.49 84.17–92.82 82.86–94.12 | — | 14% 82% |
| Fouls | 11.60 8.76–14.44 8.01–15.19 | 11.67 8.73–14.62 7.98–15.37 | 23.27 17.49–29.06 15.99–30.56 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.32 1.16–3.48 0.86–3.78 | 1.47 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.85 | 3.79 1.53–6.04 0.95–6.63 | 57% 20% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.10 | 1.32 0.19–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.10 0.92–5.28 0.36–5.83 | 48% 23% 28% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.70 2.26–5.14 1.88–5.52 | 2.66 1.10–4.21 0.68–4.64 | 6.36 3.36–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 58% 15% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.