Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
21%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.000.902.90safe1.03–2.970.04–1.751.07–4.72safer0.78–3.220.00–1.980.59–5.20
Shots on target
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.813.188.99safe3.95–7.681.44–4.925.39–12.60safer3.46–8.170.97–5.394.43–13.55
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction16.769.4526.20safe12.83–20.685.88–13.0118.72–33.69safer11.74–21.784.92–13.9716.67–35.74
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.475.7017.17safe8.53–14.423.02–8.3811.55–22.80safer7.70–15.252.28–9.129.98–24.36
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.342.566.90safe2.46–6.220.90–4.213.36–10.43safer1.91–6.770.41–4.702.33–11.47
Corners
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.923.459.36safe3.70–8.131.45–5.455.15–13.58safer3.13–8.700.91–5.984.04–14.68
Possession %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction58.7340.90safe51.94–65.5234.12–47.69safer50.27–67.1932.44–49.36
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction532353886safe465–600287–420752–1019safer447–618269–437716–1055
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction85.5979.65safe81.56–89.6275.33–83.98safer80.27–90.9174.02–85.28
Fouls
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7713.5827.35safe10.93–16.6010.64–16.5321.57–33.13safer10.17–17.369.89–17.2820.06–34.64
Offsides
36%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.492.89safe0.24–2.560.40–2.580.64–5.14safer0.00–2.860.11–2.870.05–5.73
Yellow cards
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.253.92safe0.62–2.721.12–3.381.74–6.10safer0.36–2.990.83–3.671.19–6.66
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
23%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.373.615.98safe0.93–3.802.06–5.172.99–8.97safer0.54–4.191.63–5.592.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.00 1.03–2.97 0.78–3.22 | 0.90 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 2.90 1.07–4.72 0.59–5.20 | 63% 21% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.81 3.95–7.68 3.46–8.17 | 3.18 1.44–4.92 0.97–5.39 | 8.99 5.39–12.60 4.43–13.55 | 76% 14% |
| Total shots | 16.76 12.83–20.68 11.74–21.78 | 9.45 5.88–13.01 4.92–13.97 | 26.20 18.72–33.69 16.67–35.74 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.47 8.53–14.42 7.70–15.25 | 5.70 3.02–8.38 2.28–9.12 | 17.17 11.55–22.80 9.98–24.36 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.34 2.46–6.22 1.91–6.77 | 2.56 0.90–4.21 0.41–4.70 | 6.90 3.36–10.43 2.33–11.47 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 5.92 3.70–8.13 3.13–8.70 | 3.45 1.45–5.45 0.91–5.98 | 9.36 5.15–13.58 4.04–14.68 | 74% 16% |
| Possession % | 58.73 51.94–65.52 50.27–67.19 | 40.90 34.12–47.69 32.44–49.36 | — | 84% 13% |
| Passes | 532 465–600 447–618 | 353 287–420 269–437 | 886 752–1019 716–1055 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.59 81.56–89.62 80.27–90.91 | 79.65 75.33–83.98 74.02–85.28 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 13.77 10.93–16.60 10.17–17.36 | 13.58 10.64–16.53 9.89–17.28 | 27.35 21.57–33.13 20.06–34.64 | 48% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.86 | 1.49 0.40–2.58 0.11–2.87 | 2.89 0.64–5.14 0.05–5.73 | 36% 25% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 3.92 1.74–6.10 1.19–6.66 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.37 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 3.61 2.06–5.17 1.63–5.59 | 5.98 2.99–8.97 2.17–9.78 | 23% 15% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.