Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
25%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.001.622.63safe0.04–1.970.77–2.480.81–4.45safer0.00–2.220.54–2.710.33–4.93
Shots on target
28%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.634.818.44safe1.77–5.503.07–6.554.84–12.05safer1.28–5.992.60–7.023.88–13.00
Total shots
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8413.1424.98safe7.91–15.769.58–16.7117.49–32.47safer6.82–16.858.62–17.6715.44–34.52
Shots in box
24%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction6.959.2316.18safe4.01–9.896.55–11.9110.56–21.80safer3.18–10.725.81–12.658.99–23.37
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.353.576.92safe1.47–5.231.92–5.233.39–10.46safer0.92–5.771.43–5.722.35–11.49
Corners
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.485.319.79safe2.27–6.703.31–7.315.58–14.01safer1.70–7.272.78–7.844.47–15.11
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.4657.56safe35.67–49.2550.77–64.34safer34.00–50.9249.10–66.02
Passes
17%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction367481849safe300–434415–548715–982safer282–452397–565679–1018
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction79.9284.01safe75.89–83.9579.69–88.34safer74.60–85.2478.38–89.65
Fouls
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0613.9928.05safe11.23–16.9011.04–16.9322.27–33.83safer10.47–17.6610.30–17.6820.76–35.34
Offsides
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.433.09safe0.50–2.820.34–2.520.84–5.34safer0.20–3.120.05–2.810.25–5.93
Yellow cards
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.111.924.04safe1.06–3.160.79–3.051.86–6.22safer0.80–3.430.50–3.341.30–6.77
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.932.765.69safe1.49–4.371.20–4.312.70–8.68safer1.11–4.750.78–4.741.88–9.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.00 0.04–1.97 0.00–2.22 | 1.62 0.77–2.48 0.54–2.71 | 2.63 0.81–4.45 0.33–4.93 | 23% 25% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.63 1.77–5.50 1.28–5.99 | 4.81 3.07–6.55 2.60–7.02 | 8.44 4.84–12.05 3.88–13.00 | 28% 59% |
| Total shots | 11.84 7.91–15.76 6.82–16.85 | 13.14 9.58–16.71 8.62–17.67 | 24.98 17.49–32.47 15.44–34.52 | 36% 56% |
| Shots in box | 6.95 4.01–9.89 3.18–10.72 | 9.23 6.55–11.91 5.81–12.65 | 16.18 10.56–21.80 8.99–23.37 | 24% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 3.35 1.47–5.23 0.92–5.77 | 3.57 1.92–5.23 1.43–5.72 | 6.92 3.39–10.46 2.35–11.49 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 4.48 2.27–6.70 1.70–7.27 | 5.31 3.31–7.31 2.78–7.84 | 9.79 5.58–14.01 4.47–15.11 | 33% 54% |
| Possession % | 42.46 35.67–49.25 34.00–50.92 | 57.56 50.77–64.34 49.10–66.02 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 367 300–434 282–452 | 481 415–548 397–565 | 849 715–982 679–1018 | 17% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.92 75.89–83.95 74.60–85.24 | 84.01 79.69–88.34 78.38–89.65 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 14.06 11.23–16.90 10.47–17.66 | 13.99 11.04–16.93 10.30–17.68 | 28.05 22.27–33.83 20.76–35.34 | 47% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.43 0.34–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 3.09 0.84–5.34 0.25–5.93 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.11 1.06–3.16 0.80–3.43 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 4.04 1.86–6.22 1.30–6.77 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.49–4.37 1.11–4.75 | 2.76 1.20–4.31 0.78–4.74 | 5.69 2.70–8.68 1.88–9.49 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+