Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
17%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.480.993.46safe1.51–3.440.13–1.841.64–5.28safer1.26–3.700.00–2.071.16–5.76
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.733.2911.02safe5.87–9.591.55–5.037.41–14.62safer5.38–10.081.08–5.506.46–15.58
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.709.0329.73safe16.77–24.625.47–12.5922.24–37.21safer15.68–25.724.51–13.5520.19–39.27
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction13.036.1919.22safe10.09–15.973.51–8.8713.59–24.84safer9.26–16.802.77–9.6112.03–26.41
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.051.886.93safe3.16–6.930.23–3.533.39–10.46safer2.62–7.470.00–4.032.36–11.50
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.223.0510.27safe5.01–9.441.05–5.056.06–14.49safer4.44–10.010.52–5.584.95–15.59
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.4938.14safe55.70–69.2831.36–44.93safer54.03–70.9529.69–46.60
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction582352934safe514–649285–418800–1067safer496–667268–436764–1103
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction86.7377.36safe82.70–90.7673.03–81.68safer81.41–92.0571.72–82.99
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8211.6922.51safe7.98–13.668.75–14.6416.73–28.29safer7.22–14.418.00–15.3915.22–29.80
Offsides
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.253.235.48safe1.09–3.412.14–4.323.23–7.74safer0.79–3.711.85–4.612.64–8.33
Yellow cards
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.392.303.69safe0.34–2.441.17–3.431.51–5.87safer0.08–2.710.88–3.720.95–6.43
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.320.00–0.54safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.375.147.51safe0.94–3.813.58–6.694.52–10.50safer0.55–4.203.16–7.123.70–11.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.48 1.51–3.44 1.26–3.70 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 3.46 1.64–5.28 1.16–5.76 | 70% 17% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.73 5.87–9.59 5.38–10.08 | 3.29 1.55–5.03 1.08–5.50 | 11.02 7.41–14.62 6.46–15.58 | 89% |
| Total shots | 20.70 16.77–24.62 15.68–25.72 | 9.03 5.47–12.59 4.51–13.55 | 29.73 22.24–37.21 20.19–39.27 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.03 10.09–15.97 9.26–16.80 | 6.19 3.51–8.87 2.77–9.61 | 19.22 13.59–24.84 12.03–26.41 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 5.05 3.16–6.93 2.62–7.47 | 1.88 0.23–3.53 0.00–4.03 | 6.93 3.39–10.46 2.36–11.50 | 85% |
| Corners | 7.22 5.01–9.44 4.44–10.01 | 3.05 1.05–5.05 0.52–5.58 | 10.27 6.06–14.49 4.95–15.59 | 88% |
| Possession % | 62.49 55.70–69.28 54.03–70.95 | 38.14 31.36–44.93 29.69–46.60 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 582 514–649 496–667 | 352 285–418 268–436 | 934 800–1067 764–1103 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.73 82.70–90.76 81.41–92.05 | 77.36 73.03–81.68 71.72–82.99 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 10.82 7.98–13.66 7.22–14.41 | 11.69 8.75–14.64 8.00–15.39 | 22.51 16.73–28.29 15.22–29.80 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.25 1.09–3.41 0.79–3.71 | 3.23 2.14–4.32 1.85–4.61 | 5.48 3.23–7.74 2.64–8.33 | 26% 16% 58% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 2.30 1.17–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 3.69 1.51–5.87 0.95–6.43 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.37 0.94–3.81 0.55–4.20 | 5.14 3.58–6.69 3.16–7.12 | 7.51 4.52–10.50 3.70–11.31 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.