Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.402.66safe0.29–2.230.55–2.260.84–4.48safer0.04–2.480.32–2.490.36–4.96
Shots on target
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.654.569.21safe2.79–6.512.81–6.305.60–12.81safer2.30–7.002.35–6.774.64–13.77
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2012.3126.51safe10.28–18.138.75–15.8719.03–34.00safer9.19–19.227.79–16.8316.98–36.05
Shots in box
54%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction8.967.9916.95safe6.02–11.905.31–10.6711.33–22.58safer5.19–12.734.58–11.419.76–24.14
Blocked shots
52%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.213.537.74safe2.33–6.091.88–5.194.21–11.28safer1.79–6.641.39–5.683.17–12.32
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.324.7710.08safe3.10–7.532.77–6.775.87–14.30safer2.53–8.102.24–7.304.76–15.41
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.4157.54safe35.62–49.2050.75–64.32safer33.95–50.8749.08–66.00
Passes
15%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction339460798safe271–406393–526665–932safer253–424376–544629–968
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction76.1881.80safe72.15–80.2177.48–86.13safer70.86–81.5076.17–87.44
Fouls
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1012.1726.27safe11.26–16.949.23–15.1220.49–32.06safer10.51–17.698.48–15.8718.99–33.56
Offsides
62%
19%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.441.333.78safe1.28–3.610.24–2.421.52–6.03safer0.98–3.910.00–2.710.93–6.62
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.873.64safe0.72–2.820.74–3.001.46–5.82safer0.46–3.090.45–3.290.90–6.37
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.273.286.55safe1.83–4.701.72–4.833.55–9.54safer1.44–5.091.30–5.262.74–10.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.40 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.49 | 2.66 0.84–4.48 0.36–4.96 | 34% 26% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.65 2.79–6.51 2.30–7.00 | 4.56 2.81–6.30 2.35–6.77 | 9.21 5.60–12.81 4.64–13.77 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Total shots | 14.20 10.28–18.13 9.19–19.22 | 12.31 8.75–15.87 7.79–16.83 | 26.51 19.03–34.00 16.98–36.05 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.96 6.02–11.90 5.19–12.73 | 7.99 5.31–10.67 4.58–11.41 | 16.95 11.33–22.58 9.76–24.14 | 54% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 4.21 2.33–6.09 1.79–6.64 | 3.53 1.88–5.19 1.39–5.68 | 7.74 4.21–11.28 3.17–12.32 | 52% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.32 3.10–7.53 2.53–8.10 | 4.77 2.77–6.77 2.24–7.30 | 10.08 5.87–14.30 4.76–15.41 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 42.41 35.62–49.20 33.95–50.87 | 57.54 50.75–64.32 49.08–66.00 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 339 271–406 253–424 | 460 393–526 376–544 | 798 665–932 629–968 | 15% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.18 72.15–80.21 70.86–81.50 | 81.80 77.48–86.13 76.17–87.44 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 14.10 11.26–16.94 10.51–17.69 | 12.17 9.23–15.12 8.48–15.87 | 26.27 20.49–32.06 18.99–33.56 | 61% 32% |
| Offsides | 2.44 1.28–3.61 0.98–3.91 | 1.33 0.24–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.78 1.52–6.03 0.93–6.62 | 62% 19% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.46–3.09 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.64 1.46–5.82 0.90–6.37 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.83–4.70 1.44–5.09 | 3.28 1.72–4.83 1.30–5.26 | 6.55 3.55–9.54 2.74–10.35 | 42% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+