Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.292.85safe0.59–2.530.43–2.141.03–4.67safer0.34–2.780.21–2.370.55–5.15
Shots on target
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.234.329.54safe3.36–7.092.57–6.065.94–13.15safer2.88–7.582.11–6.534.98–14.11
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7012.5128.20safe11.77–19.628.94–16.0720.72–35.69safer10.68–20.717.99–17.0318.67–37.74
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.428.2817.70safe6.47–12.365.60–10.9612.07–23.32safer5.65–13.194.86–11.7010.51–24.89
Blocked shots
61%
13%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.403.157.55safe2.52–6.281.50–4.814.02–11.09safer1.98–6.831.01–5.302.98–12.12
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.554.399.94safe3.34–7.762.39–6.395.73–14.16safer2.76–8.341.86–6.934.62–15.26
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.7440.36safe52.95–66.5333.57–47.14safer51.28–68.2031.90–48.81
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction508330838safe441–575263–396704–972safer423–594246–414669–1007
Pass accuracy %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction83.4175.91safe79.39–87.4471.59–80.24safer78.09–88.7470.28–81.55
Fouls
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3614.8826.24safe8.53–14.2011.93–17.8220.46–32.02safer7.77–14.9611.18–18.5718.95–33.53
Offsides
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.342.053.39safe0.18–2.500.96–3.141.14–5.65safer0.00–2.810.67–3.430.55–6.24
Yellow cards
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.294.05safe0.71–2.811.16–3.421.87–6.23safer0.45–3.080.87–3.711.31–6.78
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
29%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.763.616.37safe1.32–4.192.05–5.173.38–9.36safer0.93–4.581.63–5.592.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.29 0.43–2.14 0.21–2.37 | 2.85 1.03–4.67 0.55–5.15 | 44% 25% 32% |
| Shots on target | 5.23 3.36–7.09 2.88–7.58 | 4.32 2.57–6.06 2.11–6.53 | 9.54 5.94–13.15 4.98–14.11 | 55% 32% |
| Total shots | 15.70 11.77–19.62 10.68–20.71 | 12.51 8.94–16.07 7.99–17.03 | 28.20 20.72–35.69 18.67–37.74 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.42 6.47–12.36 5.65–13.19 | 8.28 5.60–10.96 4.86–11.70 | 17.70 12.07–23.32 10.51–24.89 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.40 2.52–6.28 1.98–6.83 | 3.15 1.50–4.81 1.01–5.30 | 7.55 4.02–11.09 2.98–12.12 | 61% 13% 26% |
| Corners | 5.55 3.34–7.76 2.76–8.34 | 4.39 2.39–6.39 1.86–6.93 | 9.94 5.73–14.16 4.62–15.26 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 59.74 52.95–66.53 51.28–68.20 | 40.36 33.57–47.14 31.90–48.81 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 508 441–575 423–594 | 330 263–396 246–414 | 838 704–972 669–1007 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.41 79.39–87.44 78.09–88.74 | 75.91 71.59–80.24 70.28–81.55 | — | 82% 15% |
| Fouls | 11.36 8.53–14.20 7.77–14.96 | 14.88 11.93–17.82 11.18–18.57 | 26.24 20.46–32.02 18.95–33.53 | 22% 72% |
| Offsides | 1.34 0.18–2.50 0.00–2.81 | 2.05 0.96–3.14 0.67–3.43 | 3.39 1.14–5.65 0.55–6.24 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 4.05 1.87–6.23 1.31–6.78 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 3.61 2.05–5.17 1.63–5.59 | 6.37 3.38–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 29% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.