Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
25%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.570.852.42safe0.60–2.540.00–1.700.60–4.24safer0.35–2.790.00–1.930.12–4.72
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.363.318.67safe3.50–7.221.57–5.055.06–12.27safer3.01–7.711.10–5.524.11–13.23
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.399.8127.20safe13.47–21.326.24–13.3719.71–34.69safer12.38–22.415.28–14.3317.66–36.74
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.385.8516.24safe7.44–13.333.17–8.5310.61–21.86safer6.61–14.162.43–9.279.05–23.43
Blocked shots
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.412.717.12safe2.53–6.291.06–4.363.58–10.65safer1.98–6.830.56–4.862.55–11.69
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.223.369.58safe4.00–8.431.36–5.365.36–13.79safer3.43–9.010.82–5.894.25–14.90
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction55.9343.13safe49.14–62.7236.35–49.92safer47.47–64.3934.68–51.59
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction541435977safe474–608369–502843–1110safer456–626351–519807–1146
Pass accuracy %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction87.7383.41safe83.70–91.7679.08–87.73safer82.41–93.0577.77–89.04
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7213.0224.74safe8.89–14.5610.08–15.9618.96–30.53safer8.13–15.329.33–16.7117.46–32.03
Offsides
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.633.01safe0.23–2.550.53–2.720.76–5.27safer0.00–2.850.24–3.010.17–5.85
Yellow cards
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.223.70safe0.42–2.521.10–3.351.52–5.87safer0.16–2.790.80–3.650.96–6.43
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
20%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.133.585.70safe0.69–3.572.02–5.132.71–8.70safer0.31–3.951.59–5.561.90–9.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.54 0.35–2.79 | 0.85 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 2.42 0.60–4.24 0.12–4.72 | 54% 25% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.36 3.50–7.22 3.01–7.71 | 3.31 1.57–5.05 1.10–5.52 | 8.67 5.06–12.27 4.11–13.23 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.39 13.47–21.32 12.38–22.41 | 9.81 6.24–13.37 5.28–14.33 | 27.20 19.71–34.69 17.66–36.74 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 10.38 7.44–13.33 6.61–14.16 | 5.85 3.17–8.53 2.43–9.27 | 16.24 10.61–21.86 9.05–23.43 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.41 2.53–6.29 1.98–6.83 | 2.71 1.06–4.36 0.56–4.86 | 7.12 3.58–10.65 2.55–11.69 | 67% 20% |
| Corners | 6.22 4.00–8.43 3.43–9.01 | 3.36 1.36–5.36 0.82–5.89 | 9.58 5.36–13.79 4.25–14.90 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 55.93 49.14–62.72 47.47–64.39 | 43.13 36.35–49.92 34.68–51.59 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 541 474–608 456–626 | 435 369–502 351–519 | 977 843–1110 807–1146 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.73 83.70–91.76 82.41–93.05 | 83.41 79.08–87.73 77.77–89.04 | — | 69% 27% |
| Fouls | 11.72 8.89–14.56 8.13–15.32 | 13.02 10.08–15.96 9.33–16.71 | 24.74 18.96–30.53 17.46–32.03 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.39 0.23–2.55 0.00–2.85 | 1.63 0.53–2.72 0.24–3.01 | 3.01 0.76–5.27 0.17–5.85 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 2.22 1.10–3.35 0.80–3.65 | 3.70 1.52–5.87 0.96–6.43 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.13 0.69–3.57 0.31–3.95 | 3.58 2.02–5.13 1.59–5.56 | 5.70 2.71–8.70 1.90–9.51 | 20% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.