Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
26%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.021.482.50safe0.05–1.990.63–2.340.68–4.32safer0.00–2.240.40–2.560.20–4.80
Shots on target
30%
13%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.754.818.56safe1.89–5.613.06–6.554.95–12.16safer1.40–6.102.60–7.013.99–13.12
Total shots
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7214.4626.18safe7.79–15.6410.90–18.0218.69–33.67safer6.70–16.739.94–18.9816.64–35.72
Shots in box
29%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction6.988.7115.69safe4.03–9.926.03–11.3910.07–21.31safer3.21–10.755.29–12.138.50–22.88
Blocked shots
36%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.143.576.72safe1.26–5.031.92–5.223.18–10.25safer0.72–5.571.43–5.722.14–11.29
Corners
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.345.619.95safe2.13–6.563.61–7.615.74–14.17safer1.56–7.133.07–8.144.63–15.27
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction44.6355.02safe37.84–51.4248.23–61.80safer36.17–53.0946.56–63.47
Passes
26%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction434512946safe367–501445–578812–1080safer349–520428–596777–1115
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction83.3987.08safe79.36–87.4282.76–91.40safer78.07–88.7181.45–92.71
Fouls
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2311.0324.25safe10.39–16.078.08–13.9718.47–30.04safer9.63–16.827.33–14.7216.97–31.54
Offsides
50%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.162.86safe0.54–2.860.06–2.250.61–5.12safer0.24–3.170.00–2.540.02–5.70
Yellow cards
48%
21%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.653.75safe1.05–3.150.52–2.781.58–5.93safer0.79–3.420.23–3.071.02–6.49
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.080.23safe0.00–0.310.00–0.270.00–0.58safer0.00–0.460.00–0.400.00–0.86
GK saves
47%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.162.856.02safe1.73–4.601.30–4.413.02–9.01safer1.34–4.990.87–4.832.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.05–1.99 0.00–2.24 | 1.48 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.56 | 2.50 0.68–4.32 0.20–4.80 | 26% 26% 48% |
| Shots on target | 3.75 1.89–5.61 1.40–6.10 | 4.81 3.06–6.55 2.60–7.01 | 8.56 4.95–12.16 3.99–13.12 | 30% 13% 57% |
| Total shots | 11.72 7.79–15.64 6.70–16.73 | 14.46 10.90–18.02 9.94–18.98 | 26.18 18.69–33.67 16.64–35.72 | 26% 67% |
| Shots in box | 6.98 4.03–9.92 3.21–10.75 | 8.71 6.03–11.39 5.29–12.13 | 15.69 10.07–21.31 8.50–22.88 | 29% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.14 1.26–5.03 0.72–5.57 | 3.57 1.92–5.22 1.43–5.72 | 6.72 3.18–10.25 2.14–11.29 | 36% 16% 49% |
| Corners | 4.34 2.13–6.56 1.56–7.13 | 5.61 3.61–7.61 3.07–8.14 | 9.95 5.74–14.17 4.63–15.27 | 29% 59% |
| Possession % | 44.63 37.84–51.42 36.17–53.09 | 55.02 48.23–61.80 46.56–63.47 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 434 367–501 349–520 | 512 445–578 428–596 | 946 812–1080 777–1115 | 26% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.39 79.36–87.42 78.07–88.71 | 87.08 82.76–91.40 81.45–92.71 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 13.23 10.39–16.07 9.63–16.82 | 11.03 8.08–13.97 7.33–14.72 | 24.25 18.47–30.04 16.97–31.54 | 63% 29% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.17 | 1.16 0.06–2.25 0.00–2.54 | 2.86 0.61–5.12 0.02–5.70 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 2.10 1.05–3.15 0.79–3.42 | 1.65 0.52–2.78 0.23–3.07 | 3.75 1.58–5.93 1.02–6.49 | 48% 21% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.16 1.73–4.60 1.34–4.99 | 2.85 1.30–4.41 0.87–4.83 | 6.02 3.02–9.01 2.21–9.82 | 47% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.